WNBA DFS Breakdown: Sunday

WNBA DFS Breakdown: Sunday

DraftKings and FanDuel Price Differences

Top 5 FanDuel

PlayerPOSTEAMFanDuel Price% of BudgetDraftKings Price% of BudgetDifference
Kristi ToliverGWAS610015.3%920018.40%-3.2%
Tiffany HayesGATL640016.0%940018.80%-2.8%
Ariel AtkinsGWAS540013.5%810016.20%-2.7%
Natasha HowardFSEA830020.8%1150023.00%-2.3%
Alyssa ThomasFCON790019.8%1100022.00%-2.3%

Top 5 DraftKings

PlayerPOSTEAMFanDuel Price% of BudgetDraftKings Price% of BudgetDifference
Shenise JohnsonGIND490012.3%38007.60%4.7%
Erica WheelerGIND700017.5%740014.80%2.7%
Camille LittleFPHO38009.5%35007.00%2.5%
Tierra Ruffin-PrattGLA520013.0%530010.60%2.4%
Marie GulichFATL38009.5%36007.20%2.3%

2019 Team Stats

2019 Advanced Team Offense Stats

TEAMGPPACEOFFRTGAST%OREB%REB%TOV%EFG%TS%
LAS VEGAS ACES8101.8597.66530.45419.64752.1
NEW YORK LIBERTY9100.5395.963.130.548.717.14550
LOS ANGELES SPARKS99991.858.730.747.219.74548.8
CHICAGO SKY897.2897.167.429.749.719.348.752.3
WASHINGTON MYSTICS995.47107.568.331.949.215.851.555.6
CONNECTICUT SUN1095.410262.437.454.117.44750.9
ATLANTA DREAM894.890.358.732.647.718.942.346.6
MINNESOTA LYNX994.6795.167.533.352.122.548.552.2
SEATTLE STORM1093.4897.859.931.850.31947.551.9
INDIANA

DraftKings and FanDuel Price Differences

Top 5 FanDuel

PlayerPOSTEAMFanDuel Price% of BudgetDraftKings Price% of BudgetDifference
Kristi ToliverGWAS610015.3%920018.40%-3.2%
Tiffany HayesGATL640016.0%940018.80%-2.8%
Ariel AtkinsGWAS540013.5%810016.20%-2.7%
Natasha HowardFSEA830020.8%1150023.00%-2.3%
Alyssa ThomasFCON790019.8%1100022.00%-2.3%

Top 5 DraftKings

PlayerPOSTEAMFanDuel Price% of BudgetDraftKings Price% of BudgetDifference
Shenise JohnsonGIND490012.3%38007.60%4.7%
Erica WheelerGIND700017.5%740014.80%2.7%
Camille LittleFPHO38009.5%35007.00%2.5%
Tierra Ruffin-PrattGLA520013.0%530010.60%2.4%
Marie GulichFATL38009.5%36007.20%2.3%

2019 Team Stats

2019 Advanced Team Offense Stats

TEAMGPPACEOFFRTGAST%OREB%REB%TOV%EFG%TS%
LAS VEGAS ACES8101.8597.66530.45419.64752.1
NEW YORK LIBERTY9100.5395.963.130.548.717.14550
LOS ANGELES SPARKS99991.858.730.747.219.74548.8
CHICAGO SKY897.2897.167.429.749.719.348.752.3
WASHINGTON MYSTICS995.47107.568.331.949.215.851.555.6
CONNECTICUT SUN1095.410262.437.454.117.44750.9
ATLANTA DREAM894.890.358.732.647.718.942.346.6
MINNESOTA LYNX994.6795.167.533.352.122.548.552.2
SEATTLE STORM1093.4897.859.931.850.31947.551.9
INDIANA FEVER1092.410357.634.749.716.447.952
PHOENIX MERCURY791.3794.262.427.745.818.644.949.8
DALLAS WINGS79090.958.538.750.720.841.345.2

2019 Advanced Team Defense Stats

TEAMGPDEF RTGDREBDREB%STLBLKOPP PTS
OFF TOV
OPP PTS
2ND CHANCE
OPP PTS
FB
OPP PTS
PAINT
NEW YORK LIBERTY9102.926.968.184.416.7126.636.2
INDIANA FEVER10101.925.263.55.54.514.4127.431.6
PHOENIX MERCURY7101.523.963.67.63.915.112.111.133.1
ATLANTA DREAM8101.426.362.56.56.41814.61132.5
CHICAGO SKY898.628.367.57.1416.813.17.835.3
LOS ANGELES SPARKS998.525.963.98.34.31713.39.835.3
DALLAS WINGS795.623.963.77.64.61611.48.325.4
SEATTLE STORM1095.12369.79.1417.88.111.431.2
MINNESOTA LYNX994.224.771.18.74.115.98.99.331.6
WASHINGTON MYSTICS993.924669.75.712.213.25.832.7
LAS VEGAS ACES892.53176.67.94.618.38.6930
CONNECTICUT SUN1092.127.9728.35.113.67.95.633.8

2019 Advanced Opposition Scoring

TEAMOPP
PTS
OPP
FGA
OPP
FG%
OPP
3PA
OPP
3P%
OPP
FTA
OPP
OREB
OPP
REB
OPP
AST
OPP
TOV
OPP
STL
OPP
BLK
OPP
PFD
NEW YORK LIBERTY86.17144.118.335.221.29.837.818.814.27.6519.4
LOS ANGELES SPARKS81.270.940.919.737.919.711.640.117.916.19.65.818.7
ATLANTA DREAM80.372.341.721.333.517.612.840.11913.68.45.316.9
CHICAGO SKY8073.541.221.431.616.310.43518.513.38.54.116.8
INDIANA FEVER78.669.939.918.237.419.611.535.518.812.16.53.718.4
LAS VEGAS ACES78.571.839.922.330.9177.535.118.813.58.96.818.8
PHOENIX MERCURY77.468.942.918.442.6139.937.317.314.76.73.917.6
WASHINGTON MYSTICS74.76843.119.430.913.49.834.91617.36.1315.1
MINNESOTA LYNX74.264.843.119.130.215.8831.316.316.39.24.117.9
SEATTLE STORM7465.443.72035.511.67.733.219.216.88.73.815.1
CONNECTICUT SUN73.268.141.420.126.414.37.632.919.114.67.64.715.9
DALLAS WINGS71.764.138.820.131.219.610.334.615.915.46.66.120.3

Data from WNBA.com

Washington Mystics at Atlanta Dream

Injuries

Note: All return dates are just estimates

Washington

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Emma MeessemanCNot Injury RelatedOUT7/5/2019
Kim MestdaghGNot Injury RelatedOUT7/5/2019
Kiara LeslieGKneeOUT8/2/2019

Atlanta

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Alex BentleyGNot Injury RelatedOUT7/2/2019
Angel McCoughtryFKneeOUT7/31/2019
Kristy WallaceGKneeOUT5/1/2020

Vegas Odds: Washington -9 (Open: Washington -8)   Over/Under: 157.5 (Open: Same)

2019 Player Stats

Washington

PLAYERGGSMPGPPGOREBDREBRPGAPGSPGBPGFG%3P%FT%TOPF

Elena Delle Donne

8829.415.91.97.08.92.50.61.442.137.595.01.41.6

Emma Meesseman

3123.013.31.72.74.32.31.00.765.50.050.00.31.3

Ariel Atkins

9924.312.20.61.72.21.11.70.243.838.688.20.91.3

Kristi Toliver

9926.711.20.41.92.35.61.60.145.236.884.61.91.0

Natasha Cloud

9932.110.00.12.62.75.91.30.638.831.078.91.21.6

Aerial Powers

7016.09.61.31.12.41.30.70.440.734.883.31.72.0

Tianna Hawkins

9016.69.41.82.13.90.60.90.158.543.592.91.22.7

Shatori Walker-Kimbrough

9019.88.70.92.13.01.71.20.245.823.590.91.41.0

LaToya Sanders

9924.14.40.94.15.01.81.02.144.70.01001.02.3

Kim Mestdagh

305.33.00.00.00.00.30.00.042.960.00.00.70.3

Myisha Hines-Allen

808.52.31.31.42.60.80.50.634.80.050.01.01.8

Shey Peddy

402.51.30.00.80.80.50.30.01001001000.00.3

Kiara Leslie

000.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Atlanta

PLAYERGGSMPGPPGOREBDREBRPGAPGSPGBPGFG%3P%FT%TOPF

Tiffany Hayes

8827.012.61.02.63.62.90.60.438.733.370.41.62.0

Brittney Sykes

8326.411.40.63.33.92.00.61.039.820.869.61.92.1

Jessica Breland

8823.59.30.96.06.91.41.40.941.120.086.71.61.9

Renee Montgomery

8824.58.90.11.92.03.80.60.138.535.760.02.31.5

Alex Bentley

6022.87.50.31.72.02.20.70.228.325.81001.31.8

Elizabeth Williams

8826.87.52.03.65.60.81.01.845.70.069.21.32.0

Nia Coffey

8517.06.31.33.14.40.80.40.538.026.353.81.11.6

Monique Billings

7018.15.12.73.46.10.70.40.443.50.088.91.62.1

Marie Gülich

7012.63.41.31.42.70.60.31.337.00.080.01.11.9

Maite Cazorla

5012.43.20.20.20.41.41.00.033.333.375.00.40.8

Haley Peters

406.50.50.30.30.50.30.30.30.00.01001.00.8

Angel McCoughtry

000.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Natisha Hiedeman

000.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

The Skinny

Kristi Toliver has scored in double figures in all but two games, one of which was a shortened night due to a quick double-technical. Although she's not a double-double threat, Toliver produces consistently in every category except blocks. Elena Delle Donne notched 11-plus rebounds in each of the past two games and is averaging a career-best 8.9 per contest thus far. That could be a factor again Sunday versus a Dream squad posting a league-worst rebound rate and surrendering a league-high 12.8 offensive boards per game.

Atlanta enters the game as the biggest underdog on the slate, and for good reason. The Dream own the worst offensive rating (90.3) in the league and square off against a Mystics squad that ranks among the best defensively (93.9 rating). Washington turns over its opponents a league-high 17.3 times per game, so the likes of Brittney Sykes and Renee Montgomery, who sport relatively high turnover rates, may have added struggles Sunday.

Los Angeles Sparks at Phoenix Mercury

Injuries

Note: All return dates are just estimates

Los Angeles

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Maria VadeevaCNot Injury RelatedOUT7/7/2019

Phoenix

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Sophie CunninghamGBackGTD6/23/2019
Diana TaurasiGBackOUT6/28/2019
Yvonne TurnerGNot Injury RelatedOUT7/17/2019

Vegas Odds: Phoenix -1 (Open: Even)    Over/Under: 154 (Open: Same)

2019 Player Stats

Los Angeles

PLAYERGGSMPGPPGOREBDREBRPGAPGSPGBPGFG%3P%FT%TOPF

Maria Vadeeva

1124.024.01.04.05.01.02.03.055.050.00.03.03.0

Chelsea Gray

9929.614.70.62.73.24.40.80.243.538.795.23.11.4

Nneka Ogwumike

9928.314.32.17.09.11.61.40.247.242.177.82.43.8

Chiney Ogwumike

9728.112.73.14.07.11.21.30.849.00.076.21.73.7

Riquna Williams

8021.18.00.32.12.41.31.60.131.337.184.61.32.1

Alana Beard

2221.56.50.52.53.03.00.00.050.00.075.01.01.5

Tierra Ruffin-Pratt

9823.15.80.82.33.12.40.91.136.729.484.61.01.9

Marina Mabrey

9015.14.90.31.21.61.11.00.329.430.083.30.91.0

Sydney Wiese

9618.04.80.21.41.71.10.40.439.039.11001.10.7

Alexis Jones

6115.04.20.01.31.32.70.20.234.633.31001.31.7

Kalani Brown

9014.03.91.22.63.80.40.30.739.40.075.01.62.0

Candace Parker

2223.52.51.03.54.52.51.00.011.10.050.03.50.5

Phoenix

PLAYERGGSMPGPPGOREBDREBRPGAPGSPGBPGFG%3P%FT%TOPF

DeWanna Bonner

7734.921.71.66.98.43.61.30.743.531.095.12.01.1

Brittney Griner

7735.616.72.44.77.12.11.11.745.50.073.93.73.6

Leilani Mitchell

5023.89.80.01.81.83.20.60.042.150.075.01.03.0

Essence Carson

7522.07.40.91.62.41.10.70.636.733.391.70.41.4

Briann January

7730.37.40.11.31.43.41.70.042.547.190.91.32.0

Yvonne Turner

7723.35.60.42.63.03.10.90.133.323.587.52.61.4

Sancho Lyttle

6214.52.70.82.23.00.00.70.333.30.00.00.31.7

Camille Little

2012.52.50.50.51.00.00.50.025.00.01000.52.5

Alanna Smith

7011.11.90.91.72.60.30.40.320.820.050.00.91.9

Sophie Cunningham

508.40.80.41.82.20.00.20.216.720.050.00.61.2

Brianna Turner

702.70.30.10.60.70.10.10.050.00.00.00.30.6

Diana Taurasi

000.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

The Skinny

While Diana Taurasi was initially expected to return Sunday, it appears she will miss at least one more contest. DeWanna Bonner should remain front and center in the offense again Sunday as a result of her absence. Bonner leads the league in scoring and contributes in a major way on the glass (8.4 rpg). That bodes well for her chances to have a big game versus a Sparks squad that surrenders 81.2 points per game and 40.1 rebounds per tilt.

Phoenix does struggle on the defensive end of the floor (101.5 defensive rating), which opens the door for the Sparks to put up some points despite the Mercury playing at a slow pace. While Nneka Ogwumike was limited to just 13 minutes in the last game against the Storm, she still finished in double figures and has reached that threshold in all but two games so far. She should continue that trend against a Mercury squad with the third-worst defensive rebound rate (63.6) in the league.

Connecticut Sun at Chicago Sky

Injuries

Note: All return dates are just estimates

Connecticut

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Layshia ClarendonGAnkleOUT6/26/2019

Chicago

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Jamierra FaulknerGKneeOUT6/23/2019
Chloe JacksonGAnkleOUT6/23/2019
Astou NdourCNot Injury RelatedOUT7/2/2019
Katie Lou SamuelsonGHandOUT7/2/2019

Vegas Odds: Connecticut -4.5 (Open: Same)    Over/Under: 159.5 (Open: Same)

2019 Player Stats

Connecticut

PLAYERGGSMPGPPGOREBDREBRPGAPGSPGBPGFG%3P%FT%TOPF

Jonquel Jones

101030.817.33.38.311.61.31.22.648.833.387.82.72.2

Courtney Williams

101030.012.81.04.55.53.41.00.643.350.085.71.51.6

Shekinna Stricklen

101024.911.80.31.41.71.31.00.445.543.885.71.12.6

Alyssa Thomas

101030.311.22.85.48.23.71.80.350.00.061.11.52.4

Jasmine Thomas

101028.510.10.22.72.94.91.50.234.630.373.92.31.8

Layshia Clarendon

9015.36.20.81.72.42.10.30.041.910085.70.90.8

Rachel Banham

10011.24.40.01.01.00.70.30.132.628.675.00.61.2

Bria Holmes

1009.22.80.40.81.20.20.50.238.533.354.50.10.5

Morgan Tuck

1009.52.60.61.01.60.60.30.227.327.362.51.01.1

Brionna Jones

909.02.01.60.82.30.20.30.626.10.042.90.91.3

Kristine Anigwe

505.81.40.41.01.40.20.20.033.30.075.00.60.8

Bridget Carleton

204.50.00.50.51.00.50.00.00.00.00.00.51.0

Chicago

PLAYERGGSMPGPPGOREBDREBRPGAPGSPGBPGFG%3P%FT%TOPF

Diamond DeShields

8830.014.41.04.15.12.31.10.441.537.575.01.11.9

Courtney Vandersloot

8831.111.60.64.65.38.01.50.142.938.775.03.42.0

Allie Quigley

8829.511.00.62.02.62.40.60.347.148.61001.31.6

Stefanie Dolson

8825.39.61.34.45.62.50.50.953.736.81002.43.0

Cheyenne Parker

8018.19.02.04.66.60.90.91.543.125.091.31.52.5

Jantel Lavender

8727.07.91.94.05.91.30.50.844.614.31001.81.8

Gabby Williams

8115.66.50.61.42.01.60.80.139.614.372.71.41.3

Kahleah Copper

8013.86.10.12.12.30.80.50.035.414.382.41.01.9

Astou Ndour

206.54.50.00.00.00.00.00.01001000.00.51.0

Katie Lou Samuelson

3013.32.30.01.71.71.00.70.033.320.01000.31.3

Chloe Jackson

306.31.30.30.30.71.01.30.028.60.00.01.00.3

Jamierra Faulkner

000.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Victoria Macaulay

202.00.00.01.01.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

The Skinny

Given that Chicago and Connecticut both play at an above-average pace, it shouldn't be all that surprising that this game checks in with the highest over/under on the slate. Alyssa Thomas posted a down game against the Dream the last time out, landing her among the top-five budget differentials in favor of FanDuel. The minutes remained steady, however, and the fact that Chicago's opponents take the most shots per game in the league bodes well for her and the other four double-digit point scorers on the squad.

Connecticut sports solid efficiency numbers on the defensive end of the floor, likely contributing to the team's expected 4.5-point advantage in the contest. Courtney Vandersloot may be the one player for the Sky positioned to have a solid game. A wizard as a passer (8.0 assists per game), Vandersloot's ability to create for her teammates could play out well against a Connecticut squad surrendering the second-most assists per game (19.1). 

Indiana Fever at Seattle Storm

Injuries

Note: All return dates are just estimates

Indiana

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Natalie AchonwaCCalfGTD6/23/2019
Victoria ViviansGKneeSUSP-INJ4/1/2020

Seattle

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Jordin CanadaGKneeGTD6/23/2019
Ramu TokashikiFPersonalSUSP7/3/2019
Sue BirdGKneeOUT7/17/2019
Breanna StewartFAchillesSUSP-INJ2/1/2020

Vegas Odds: Seattle -5 (Open: Seattle -6)     Over/Under: 156 (Open: Same)

2019 Player Stats

Indiana

PLAYERGGSMPGPPGOREBDREBRPGAPGSPGBPGFG%3P%FT%TOPF

Kelsey Mitchell

101027.114.70.21.31.52.30.30.037.135.889.51.42.0

Candice Dupree

101032.312.51.26.07.22.60.40.548.70.084.61.71.1

Erica Wheeler

101025.112.30.12.52.66.10.80.252.251.71002.82.2

Tiffany Mitchell

10025.012.01.03.04.02.00.50.240.229.292.91.92.5

Natalie Achonwa

8824.911.61.53.95.41.90.61.360.00.088.20.93.4

Kennedy Burke

7014.67.10.90.41.30.60.70.150.050.081.80.71.1

Teaira McCowan

10216.65.62.83.76.50.10.31.846.70.060.90.83.5

Betnijah Laney

101027.25.01.93.04.91.61.70.332.320.050.01.41.5

Paris Kea

306.03.30.00.30.31.00.00.357.110050.01.00.0

Shenise Johnson

3012.01.30.32.02.30.70.70.015.40.00.00.31.0

Stephanie Mavunga

809.61.30.81.32.00.30.40.333.30.01000.32.0

Erica McCall

408.51.01.01.52.50.50.00.316.70.00.00.30.5

Victoria Vivians

000.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Seattle

PLAYERGGSMPGPPGOREBDREBRPGAPGSPGBPGFG%3P%FT%TOPF

Natasha Howard

101031.319.63.45.89.21.72.01.546.316.782.42.62.7

Jewell Loyd

101032.016.60.52.73.22.91.70.238.334.093.92.21.2

Jordin Canada

8830.59.80.42.42.85.32.90.337.225.077.33.31.9

Alysha Clark

7628.08.11.04.75.73.00.61.151.253.880.01.42.3

Mercedes Russell

10624.27.22.63.56.10.70.80.557.40.076.91.12.1

Sami Whitcomb

9014.75.90.11.11.21.90.60.040.940.51001.01.8

Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis

10414.25.40.20.81.00.80.50.146.733.31000.91.3

Crystal Langhorne

10420.25.20.92.43.31.40.40.442.233.368.80.91.0

Shavonte Zellous

7114.93.90.00.90.91.30.30.135.50.062.51.41.3

Courtney Paris

606.20.30.31.21.50.50.00.31000.00.00.30.5

Blake Dietrick

4112.30.30.30.50.81.30.50 .00.00.050.01.01.3

Sue Bird

000.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Breanna Stewart

000.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

The Skinny

Natalie Achonwa remains a question mark for Sunday's affair. Her absence again would mean a third straight start for third-overall pick Teaira McCowan. After a slow start to the season, McCowan has hit her stride recently and owns back-to-back double-doubles in her first two career starts. Given the production, it may be difficult to send the rookie back to the bench even when Achonwa is available. If she can't go again Sunday, McCwoan should be a perfectly viable option for daily.

Both Seattle and Indiana play relatively slow, but Indiana still struggles on the defensive end of the floor. Indiana's opponents don't shoot particularly well from he floor (39.9 percent), but they knock down 37.4 percent of the threes attempted. This bodes well for Jewell Loyd, who leads the team with 50 three-point attempts and Sami Whitcomb, a sharpshooter knocking down 40.5 percent of her deep shots off the bench. On the off chance that Natasha Howard, who owns a probable designation Sunday due to a rib injury, can't suit up, Crystal Langhorne would presumably rejoin the starting five and could see a rise in fantasy value.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chris Benzine
Chris is a sports editor for various sports on the site and also a consistent contributor in the college sports arena.
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