This article is part of our Beating the Book series.
Last week was mediocre. I went 8-8, won my best bet (Colts), but only went 2-3 in the Supercontest. I got unlucky on a couple games – Leonard Fournette breaking the long TD to cover against the Panthers and Cam Newton getting stopped short of the goal (after a missed two-point conversion and missed FG earlier) – but I'm sure I got lucky on some I'm not remembering, and usually that kind of thing evens out over time.
This week, I especially like the Saints, Patriots, and the Seahawks and Broncos were easy calls for me too. I'll post my Supercontest picks in the comments.
Dolphins +3 at Jaguars
This line opened as a pick 'em, and when I first looked it was Dolphins +2.5, so I loved the Jaguars. Now it's up to three, and my lean is more lukewarm. Still back Jacksonville.
Jaguars 24 - 20
Raiders +6 at Patriots
I'm a Cam Newton believer, especially after watching the Seattle game. The Raiders are traveling east on a short week off a huge win. Lay the wood.
Patriots 31 - 20
Rams +2.5 at Bills
The Rams have surprised me early on, but I don't see why they're not getting the full three on the road against a stout Bills squad. Take the home favorite.
Bills 23 - 20
Texans +4 at Steelers
The Texans are a desperate animal, but I'd still need more than four on the road against one of