IDP Analysis: Week 16 Matchups

IDP Analysis: Week 16 Matchups

This article is part of our IDP Analysis series.

With rosters of all shapes and sizes, IDP advice can be a bit tricky, so the purpose of this article is to point out players whose value is elevated for the upcoming week. Some of these players will be superstars while others will be players found on many waiver wires. Whether you're streaming IDPs each week or have a stocked roster, this "one size fits" all approach will hopefully help most everyone find a weekly edge.

Linebackers

Anthony Hitchens, Reggie Ragland and Justin Houston – Chiefs: The Seahawks are all but certain to attack KC on the ground – not only is that what the Hawks do best, but it attacks the Chiefs weakness, which is stopping the run. Over the last five weeks, Seattle has given up the third-most tackles to opposing linebackers. Look for Chris Carson and company to have success while shortening the game, making this a great spot for the Kansas City LBs.

Preston Smith, Mason Foster and Zach Brown – Washington: Playing on their home field in a must-win game against a struggling defense, expect Derrick Henry and Dion Lewis to be the focal point of the Tennessee offense. There's also a great chance they'll be running to kill the clock in the second half of a likely win. In addition, the Titans have given up the third-most fantasy points to LBs over the last five weeks, so fire up the Washington LBs with confidence.

Kiko Alonso, Raekwon McMillan and Jerome Baker

With rosters of all shapes and sizes, IDP advice can be a bit tricky, so the purpose of this article is to point out players whose value is elevated for the upcoming week. Some of these players will be superstars while others will be players found on many waiver wires. Whether you're streaming IDPs each week or have a stocked roster, this "one size fits" all approach will hopefully help most everyone find a weekly edge.

Linebackers

Anthony Hitchens, Reggie Ragland and Justin Houston – Chiefs: The Seahawks are all but certain to attack KC on the ground – not only is that what the Hawks do best, but it attacks the Chiefs weakness, which is stopping the run. Over the last five weeks, Seattle has given up the third-most tackles to opposing linebackers. Look for Chris Carson and company to have success while shortening the game, making this a great spot for the Kansas City LBs.

Preston Smith, Mason Foster and Zach Brown – Washington: Playing on their home field in a must-win game against a struggling defense, expect Derrick Henry and Dion Lewis to be the focal point of the Tennessee offense. There's also a great chance they'll be running to kill the clock in the second half of a likely win. In addition, the Titans have given up the third-most fantasy points to LBs over the last five weeks, so fire up the Washington LBs with confidence.

Kiko Alonso, Raekwon McMillan and Jerome Baker – Dolphins: Although the Jaguars will be on the road, their plan of attack is unlikely to change, which will mean a massive dose of Leonard Fournette. Facing a Miami defense that struggles to stop the run should also ensure that Jacksonville has a number of extended drives, which will allow the Miami run stoppers to have a busy afternoon.

Lavonte David, Adarius Taylor and Devante Bond – Buccaneers: Ezekiel Elliott is almost a lock to be a workhorse against Tampa Bay's weak run defense, especially playing on their home field. The Cowboys will also be a solid favorite, meaning that there could be plenty of clock-killing runs as well. With the Bucs LBs chasing down the Dallas RBs all day, this is a great spot to start those backers.

Pass rushers

Jurrell Casey, Brian Orakpo (elbow) and Derrick Morgan – Titans: Over the last five weeks, the Washington offense is giving up about four sacks per game, which is among the most in the league. With the Titans at home, there's a great chance they move out to a substantial lead, and, assuming they do, the decimated Washington OL will likely be overmatched against the Tennessee pass rush.

Danielle Hunter, Everson Griffen, Linval Joseph and Sheldon Richardson – Vikings: When these teams met earlier in the season, the Vikings sacked Matthew Stafford a whopping 10 times. Even if they don't reach that massive number this time, the Lions expected inability to run the ball should put them in plenty of obvious passing situations, making this a potential upside week for the Minnesota pass rush.

J.J. Watt, Whitney Mercilus and Jadeveon Clowney – Texans: The Eagles are extremely unlikely to have success running the ball against the Texans, which would potentially put this struggling offense in too many unfavorable situations. This is a perfect scenario for the Houston pass rush, especially since the Philly O-line isn't the dominant force they've been in the past, making this a week to expect increased production from the Texans' pass rushers.

Aaron Donald, Ndamukong Suh, Dante Fowler and Michael Brockers – Rams: Even though the Cardinals are at home, it's hard to imagine that they won't fall way behind the Rams, forcing them to abandon the run. Also, with Aqib Talib having been back for a few weeks, the Arizona WRs will struggle to get open against an improved pass defense, which should give the Rams' pass rushers plenty of opportunities to chase down Josh Rosen or Mike Glennon all afternoon.

Defensive backs

Chidobe Awuzie, Byron Jones, Anthony Brown and Xavier Woods – Cowboys: It's very unlikely the Bucs will have any success running the ball against the exceptional Dallas' run defense. In addition, the Cowboys should be able to play with a lead, and Tampa's only way to compete will be throwing the football. Not only should the Dallas DBs pile up tackles, but Jameis Winston could easily throw multiple INTs in this road game.

Marshon Lattimore, Eli Apple, P.J. Williams and Marcus Williams – Saints: On their home field, the Saints give up very little production to opposing rushing attacks. On top of that, New Orleans can really get things rolling on offense in the Superdome. Put these factors together, and it's looking like a game in which Pittsburgh lets Ben Roethlisberger try to keep up with Drew Brees by passing the ball. That should result in a productive day for the Saints' DBs.

Tre'Davious White, Levi Wallace, Jordan Poyer and Micah Hyde – Bills: The Bills have been a strong defense all season, and they have a great chance of slowing down the New England rushing attack. Even without that probability, over the last five weeks, New England gives up the seventh-most fantasy points to defensive backs. But with their running game likely to struggle a bit, the Pats will have no problem letting Tom Brady air it out to his vast array of targets, making it a strong week to start the Bills' DBs.

Bradley Roby, Tramaine Brock, Justin Simmons and Darian Stewart – Broncos: Denver has been a strong run defense lately, so it's very improbable that the Raiders will have much success on the ground. Most likely, the only way they'll be able to hang with the Broncos will be on the arm of Derek Carr, especially when facing a Denver defense that's been a liability against the pass over the past month. Look for Carr to throw early and often, making it a great week to start the Denver DBs.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jim Coventry
Coventry was a finalist for the FSWA football writer of the year in 2022. He started playing fantasy football in 1994 and won a national contest in 1996. He also nabbed five top-50 finishes in national contests from 2008 to 2012 before turning his attention to DFS. He's been an industry analyst since 2007, though he joined RotoWire in 2016. A published author, Coventry wrote a book about relationships, "The Secret of Life", in 2013.
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