This article is part of our Handicapping the NBA series.
I've mentioned this in at least one previous version of this article, but I don't have a great feel on either of these series. When that's the case, and I'm forced to make a bet (which you should never feel like you have to do aside from exercises like this), I'm going to opt for a long-shot parlay with targets that feel realistic to me. The quick breakdown: Young is averaging 10.8 assists in this series; Capela is at 11.0 rebounds; Mitchell is at 4.6 assists; the Jazz are in a desperate, must-win spot. I think getting each player to go slightly above their series averages plus a Utah victory at 17-to-1 is solid odds.
Jazz at Clippers OVER 219.5 points (-110) – BetMGM (12:14 PM CT)
So far in this Round 2 matchup between the Clippers and Jazz, both teams' scores have combined for at least 220 total points in every game. Even with Kawhi Leonard out, the Clippers were able to put up a fight and get out of Utah with a 3-2 series lead. I expect this Game 6 to be a very close game with both teams scoring plenty of points and the over hitting once again. Mike Conley is also expected to make his series debut Friday night, which should help boost Utah's scoring.
John Collins OVER 24.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-129) vs. PHI – DraftKings (3:44 PM CT)
Collins has been very underrated for the Hawks in this series against the 76ers. He has quietly recorded an average of 17.0 points, 8.8 rebounds and 1.0 assists, which is well over his line of 24.5 P+R+A. The forward managed to get over that line in every game of this series except for Game 2. I expect Collins to continue to produce in a crucial Game 6, as Tobias Harris has struggled with defending the young Hawk. If Atlanta is going to win the series in six, they'll need production and plenty of playing time from all of their starters, so even in the event of a blowout, it's likely Collins will receive lots of minutes.