Randy Dobnak
25-Year-Old PitcherSP
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Dobnak began last season as an unheralded prospect at High-A and finished the season starting a playoff game for the Twins. After going undrafted out of a Division II school and later working his way through independent ball, Dobnak showed some promise in 2018 and started the 2019 season hot at High-A (1 ER in four starts), quickly earning a promotion to Double-A and then Triple-A. He was called up to the Twins in August and worked out of the bullpen and as a starter, posting a 1.59 ERA in 28.1 regular-season innings. Dobnak doesn't have an overpowering fastball (92.7 average mph) or dominant strikeout rate (19.5 K%), but has excellent control (4.2 BB%) and generates groundballs at a nice clip (52.9%). At age 25 and without plus velocity, he wouldn't appear to have much upside. However, his unusual career path makes him a late-bloomer candidate. He'll try to win a spot in the Minnesota rotation this spring. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#562
ADP
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$Signed a contract with the Twins in July of 2017.
Was on pace to win rotation spot
PMinnesota Twins
March 20, 2020
Dobnak had been building momentum as the favorite to win the No. 5 starter's spot prior to spring training getting put on hold, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Prior to the shutdown, Dobnak had been battling Jhoulys Chacin and had been the better pitcher, logging a 2.70 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and six strikeouts in 10 innings across three spring outings. However, if the delay stretches into late June or early July, Rich Hill (elbow) could be healthy enough to take the fifth starter's job from Dobnak. Regardless, the 25-year-old rookie impressed everyone in camp and could have a bright future with Minnesota, even if he does not spend all of 2020 in the big-league rotation.
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Pitching Stats
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2019
2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
47
Last 10 Games
47
Last 5 Games
56
How many pitches does Randy Dobnak generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Randy Dobnak generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-45%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-45%
BAA vs LHP
2018
No Stats
2017
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .175 59 9 1 10 2 0 0
Since 2017vs Right .321 59 14 4 17 1 0 1
2019vs Left .175 59 9 1 10 2 0 0
2019vs Right .321 59 14 4 17 1 0 1
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-81%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-81%
ERA on Road
2018
No Stats
2017
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 2.92 1.30 12.1 1 1 0 7.3 2.2 0.7
Since 2017Away 0.56 1.00 16.0 1 0 1 7.3 1.1 0.0
2019Home 2.92 1.30 12.1 1 1 0 7.3 2.2 0.7
2019Away 0.56 1.00 16.0 1 0 1 7.3 1.1 0.0
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Randy Dobnak compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.60
 
K/9
7.3
 
BB/9
1.6
 
HR/9
0.3
 
Fastball
92.7 mph
 
ERA
1.59
 
WHIP
1.13
 
BABIP
.314
 
GB/FB
2.47
 
Left On Base
75.2%
 
Exit Velocity
88.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
2.3%
 
Spin Rate
2002 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
42.5%
 
Swinging Strike
13.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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More Fantasy News
Stays in fifth starter mix
PMinnesota Twins
February 27, 2020
Dobnak gave up one run over three innings without a strikeout or walk in Thursday's spring training tie with Toronto.
ANALYSIS
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Starting Game 2
PMinnesota Twins
October 4, 2019
Dobnak has been named the starter for Game 2 of the ALDS against the Yankees on Saturday, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Six strong innings
PMinnesota Twins
September 25, 2019
Dobnak (2-1) allowed an unearned run on one hit and no walks while striking out six across six innings to earn the win Wednesday against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Starting Wednesday
PMinnesota Twins
September 24, 2019
Dobnak will start Wednesday's game against the Tigers on four days' rest, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Earns first win
PMinnesota Twins
September 20, 2019
Dobnak (1-1) pitched 5.1 innings Friday, allowing one run on three hits and two walks. He earned the win and struck out five versus the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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