2024 Stats
W-L
0-3
ERA
10.54
WHIP
2.78
K
11
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
After receiving an encouraging cup of coffee to end the 2022 season, Brown broke camp in the Astros rotation where he stayed all season. He made 31 appearances, with 29 starts. His 5.09 ERA is misleading as his 3.52 xFIP and 3.74 SIERA suggest Brown experienced some misfortune. The main culprits were a bloated .330 BABIP, a low 68.8 percent left on base mark and an extremely high 21.0 percent home run per fly ball clip. It's never all bad luck, but these metrics all scream impending regression. Brown's 18.5 percent K-BB percent ranked an impressive 21st among pitchers with a minimum of 150 innings pitched. The 25-year-old right-hander threw his 96-mph four seamer 46 percent of the time, but his 26.8 percent strikeout rate was driven by his curveball utilized at a 24 percent clip. Brown also toyed with a splitter with encouraging results. The Houston organization is adept at fine tuning their pitcher's repertoire, boding well for Brown to take the next step, beyond what natural regression will provide. Top-30 starting potential from a pitcher coming off a season with a 5.09 ERA is a great target. Read Past Outlooks
Stuck with loss
Brown (0-3) took the loss Tuesday, allowing two runs on five hits and three walks with three strikeouts over six innings against Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
Despite ending up in the loss column, Brown turned in a quality start against one of baseball's best offenses. The outing was the definition of a rebound for Brown, who allowed a combined 14 runs over 3.2 innings during his previous two starts. However, the right-hander was hung out to dry by the Astros' offense, which didn't get on the scoreboard until the bottom of the ninth. Excluding the pair of ugly showings, Brown has allowed three runs (two earned) and recorded eight strikeouts over the 10 innings covering his other two starts. He'll look for his first win of 2024 in a tentative matchup with the Cubs next Tuesday.
Despite ending up in the loss column, Brown turned in a quality start against one of baseball's best offenses. The outing was the definition of a rebound for Brown, who allowed a combined 14 runs over 3.2 innings during his previous two starts. However, the right-hander was hung out to dry by the Astros' offense, which didn't get on the scoreboard until the bottom of the ninth. Excluding the pair of ugly showings, Brown has allowed three runs (two earned) and recorded eight strikeouts over the 10 innings covering his other two starts. He'll look for his first win of 2024 in a tentative matchup with the Cubs next Tuesday.
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
74
Last 10 Games
74
Last 5 Games
74
How many pitches does Hunter Brown generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Hunter Brown generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-20%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-39%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .240 | 108 | 41 | 85 | 9 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .299 | 103 | 31 | 115 | 20 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .324 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .531 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 3 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .246 | 85 | 30 | 68 | 9 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .276 | 93 | 25 | 89 | 17 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .136 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 0 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .310 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-11%
ERA on Road
2024
-95%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 5.32 | 1.47 | 93.0 | 10.2 | 4.2 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 4.75 | 1.40 | 96.2 | 9.9 | 2.7 | ||||
| 2024Home | 1.80 | 1.40 | 10.0 | 7.2 | 4.5 | ||||
| 2024Away | 34.36 | 6.55 | 3.2 | 7.4 | 12.3 | ||||
| 2023Home | 6.56 | 1.57 | 72.2 | 10.5 | 4.2 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.80 | 1.18 | 83.0 | 10.1 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2022Home | 0.00 | 0.87 | 10.1 | 10.5 | 3.5 | ||||
| 2022Away | 1.80 | 1.30 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 2.7 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Hunter Brown compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.10K/9
7.2BB/9
6.6HR/9
2.0Fastball
94.9 mphERA
10.54WHIP
2.78BABIP
.476GB/FB
2.25Left On Base
62.1%Swinging Strike
8.1%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Hunter Brown See More
Mookie Betts leads the Los Angeles Dodgers against the Washington Nationals, and Juan Carlos Blanco has MLB Expert Picks and Player Props for this game and two others for Tuesday, April 16.
Tuesday's top MLB DFS options on FanDuel include Hunter Greene, who offers plenty of upside against a struggling Mariners lineup.
Monday’s DraftKings slate is a good time to take a look at Mets slugger Pete Alonso.
Todd Zola presents the weekly pitcher rankings, and with all the pitcher injuries it’s almost fitting that Tyler Glasnow is leading the rankings.
Thursday's top MLB DFS options on FanDuel include most of Atlanta's very stackable lineup, headlined by Ronald Acuna.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Trajectory skyrocketing?
Brown has thrown 14.0 scoreless innings across his last two starts, striking out 12 while walking three over that span.
ANALYSIS
Brown entered the season among the highest regarded pitching prospects in baseball. After a mixed trio of appearances to start the season, Brown has been dialed in of late. His 1.02 WHIP ranks in the top-15 among all American League arms, and he's trending upward. He's worth a look in nearly all formats.
Brown entered the season among the highest regarded pitching prospects in baseball. After a mixed trio of appearances to start the season, Brown has been dialed in of late. His 1.02 WHIP ranks in the top-15 among all American League arms, and he's trending upward. He's worth a look in nearly all formats.
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Armed with an upper-90s fastball, low-80s curveball with above-average drop and a 93-mph slider, Brown has the type of modern pitch mix that passes the eye test and excites data analysts. For years, prospect analysts knew of Brown's impressive repertoire, but it wasn't until late in 2021 that he started to throw strikes at a rate that suggested he could make it as a starter. His walk rate at Triple-A and the majors has been between 8.8% and 10.6%, which is still on the high end for a starter, but it's workable and at 24 years old, there's still room for improvement. In addition to missing bats at an above-average clip, Brown has typically logged elite groundball rates north of 50%. There would be much more redraft buzz if the Astros didn't have perhaps the deepest rotation in the game. As such, it's unclear how many starts he will make in 2023, but there is a very high long-term ceiling.
More Fantasy News
Brutal day in Kansas City
Brown (0-2) took the loss against the Royals on Thursday, allowing nine runs on 11 hits and a walk in just two-thirds of an inning.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Tagged with five runs
Brown (0-1) allowed five runs on eight hits and four walks over three innings Friday, striking out three and taking a loss against Texas.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Goes four in no-decision
Brown took a no-decision Saturday, permitting one unearned run over four innings against the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Starting third game
Brown will start the third game of the regular season against the Yankees, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Working on traditional slider
Brown is adding a slider to his pitch mix this offseason, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.