Bailey Ober
28-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Ober had a strong season that has him set to be a vital part of Minnesota's 2024 rotation. Ober began the season in the minors as the odd man out in a six-man rotation and got some spot starts in April before joining the rotation in May. He was sent down briefly in August to manage his workload, but finished strong with a 2.08 ERA over his last four starts (though he was hit hard in his lone playoff outing by giving up six runs in a loss). Ober doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.4 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (5% BB%) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball, change-up). His changeup became a lethal weapon by allowing just a .268 wOBA and helped lead to an overall 14.5% swinging K%. After throwing 144.1 innings, Ober shouldn't face any limitations on workload after staying healthy after struggling through injuries his first two major league seasons. Read Past Outlooks
Strikes out seven in spring start
Ober gave up one run with seven strikeouts and no walks over three innings in Saturday's spring training loss to Philadelphia. He reached a carer-high 94.8 mph with his fastball, and Ober said he hopes to gain more velocity from offseason workouts, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Ober, however, also reached 94 mph with his fastball last spring, according to the report, but averaged just 91.4 mph during the regular season. Still, his outing Saturday shows he's nearly in midseason form. While Ober may not have an overpowering fastball, it's offset by his outstanding control (5.0 percent walk rate) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball, change-up). He's set to be a vital part of Minnesota's rotation.
Ober, however, also reached 94 mph with his fastball last spring, according to the report, but averaged just 91.4 mph during the regular season. Still, his outing Saturday shows he's nearly in midseason form. While Ober may not have an overpowering fastball, it's offset by his outstanding control (5.0 percent walk rate) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball, change-up). He's set to be a vital part of Minnesota's rotation.
Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-4%
BAA vs RHP
2024
No Stats
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .235 | 80 | 25 | 85 | 7 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .226 | 117 | 15 | 88 | 19 | |||
2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2023vs Left | .228 | 63 | 17 | 62 | 6 | |||
2023vs Right | .236 | 83 | 12 | 63 | 16 | |||
2022vs Left | .258 | 17 | 8 | 23 | 1 | |||
2022vs Right | .205 | 34 | 3 | 25 | 3 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-3%
ERA at Home
2024
No Stats
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.32 | 1.10 | 100.1 | 8.9 | 2.1 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 3.42 | 1.03 | 100.0 | 8.8 | 1.5 | ||||
2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2023Home | 3.30 | 1.07 | 76.1 | 8.4 | 2.0 | ||||
2023Away | 3.57 | 1.06 | 68.0 | 9.9 | 1.6 | ||||
2022Home | 3.38 | 1.17 | 24.0 | 10.5 | 2.3 | ||||
2022Away | 3.09 | 0.97 | 32.0 | 6.5 | 1.4 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Bailey Ober compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
5.03K/9
9.1BB/9
1.8HR/9
1.4Fastball
91.4 mphERA
3.43WHIP
1.07BABIP
.283GB/FB
0.80Left On Base
77.9%Exit Velocity
81.0 mphBarrels/BBE
5.5%Spin Rate
2212 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
21.7%Swinging Strike
14.5%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bailey Ober See More
Even with a tough matchup against the Phillies in Citizens Bank Park on Opening Day, Spencer Strider takes the top spot in the first Weekly Pitcher Rankings of the year.
Injuries and signings have caused plenty of shifts in our rankings over the last two weeks, with Elly De La Cruz jumping up six spots due to teammates missing time.
Todd Zola considers the impact of extra rest on starting pitchers and wonders if the Orioles will treat Corbin Burnes with the same care that the Brewers did.
These six pitchers, including Minnesota's Louie Varland, may not have locked-in rotation spots, but they have the skills to succeed if they can secure a job.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Piggyback role being considered
Ober could operate in a piggyback role with Dallas Keuchel once Joe Ryan returns from his groin injury, per Dan Hayes of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
The Twins are weighing whether to move to a six-man rotation or use the piggyback strategy once Ryan is back, which could be as early as this weekend. Ober has certainly earned his spot in the rotation with a 3.41 ERA over 118.2 innings this year, but that workload -- plus 17.2 frames at Triple-A -- already represents a career high by nearly 30 innings. Minnesota will likely want to manage the right-hander's workload in some form during the final five-plus weeks of the regular season, though it remains to be seen exactly how the organization chooses to do so.
The Twins are weighing whether to move to a six-man rotation or use the piggyback strategy once Ryan is back, which could be as early as this weekend. Ober has certainly earned his spot in the rotation with a 3.41 ERA over 118.2 innings this year, but that workload -- plus 17.2 frames at Triple-A -- already represents a career high by nearly 30 innings. Minnesota will likely want to manage the right-hander's workload in some form during the final five-plus weeks of the regular season, though it remains to be seen exactly how the organization chooses to do so.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
Ober improved on his rookie season in terms of ERA (3.21) and WHIP (1.5) but he made just 11 starts due injury. Ober was sidelined from early June to early September with an aponeurotic plate injury, which he described as a tendon pulling on his pelvic bone. He was lights out when he returned with a 2.01 ERA and a 22:4 K:BB ratio in 22.1 innings. He doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.6 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (1.77 BB/9) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball). Home runs allowed have been an issue in the past and he may have been lucky last season with a 4.8% HR/FB and since he was 12th worst among all pitchers in Barrel Rate allowed. Ober will compete for a spot in the rotation this spring and could be productive if he can keep the ball in the park and stay healthy.
More Fantasy News
Gets call for Game 1
Ober will start Saturday against the Astros in Game 1 of the ALDS, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Under consideration for Game 1
Ober is being considered to start Saturday's Game 1 of the ALDS in Houston, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Punches out nine
Ober allowed one run on two hits over 6.2 innings during Sunday's loss to Colorado. He struck out nine and did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Blanks Athletics
Ober (8-6) earned the win Tuesday, allowing two hits over five scoreless innings against the Athletics. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Allows two runs in no-decision
Ober did not factor into the decision Wednesday, allowing two runs on three hits and three walks over five innings against the Reds. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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