Keston Hiura

Keston Hiura

27-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Detroit Tigers
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Hiura was designated for assignment by the Brewers just before Opening Day in 2023, and he remained at the Triple-A level for the entire season. He once again mashed at the highest level of the minors with 23 homers and a .960 OPS in 85 games, but a 24.5 percent strikeout rate likely wasn't enough of an improvement for the Brewers to warrant giving him another look. The 27-year-old clubbed 14 homers in just 80 games in 2022 but struck out at a 41.7 percent clip, and his proven power potential should be enough to land him a minor-league contract for 2024 after he elected free agency in October. Unless Hiura is able to notably improve his contact skills, however, he's unlikely to be a factor in the big leagues. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#600
ADP
$Signed a one-year, minor-league contract with the Tigers in February of 2024. Contract is worth $2 million at MLB level.
Cut from big-league camp
1BDetroit Tigers  AAA
March 21, 2024
The Tigers reassigned Hiura to minor-league camp Thursday.
ANALYSIS
Hiura recorded three hits in Wednesday's Grapefruit League game to raise his spring average to .323, but it ultimately wasn't enough to survive the latest round of cuts. Perhaps he can opt out of his minor-league deal and pursue another opportunity, though a bench player with his defensive limitations is tough for any team to carry.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+40%
OPS vs RHP
2024
No Stats
2023
No Stats
2022
 
 
+40%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .619 109 11 3 11 3 .188 .275 .344
Since 2022vs Right .866 157 23 11 21 2 .254 .344 .522
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Left .619 109 11 3 11 3 .188 .275 .344
2022vs Right .866 157 23 11 21 2 .254 .344 .522
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+19%
OPS on Road
2024
No Stats
2023
No Stats
2022
 
 
+19%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .711 157 18 7 22 3 .227 .299 .411
Since 2022Away .845 109 16 7 10 2 .226 .339 .505
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Home .711 157 18 7 22 3 .227 .299 .411
2022Away .845 109 16 7 10 2 .226 .339 .505
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Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Has multiple opt-out dates
1BDetroit Tigers  AAA
March 22, 2024
Hiura has three upward mobility clause dates in his minor-league contract with the Tigers, with the first being March 26, per Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press.
ANALYSIS
The 27-year-old was reassigned to minor-league camp Thursday, indicating he won't be included on the Opening Day roster despite hitting .323 in spring training. That doesn't necessarily mean Hiura will utilize his first opt-out next week, especially since he's unlikely to find a landing spot with a clearer path to the big leagues. The additional opt-out dates are June 1 and Aug.1.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
After seeing his OPS plummet at least 150 points in back-to-back seasons, Hiura bounced back in 2022 and finished well above average in that category league-wide. His 14 homers and 23 extra-base hits were both his best marks since his 2019 rookie season, and he also had the best walk rate of his career. However, he struck out at a higher rate than ever before and was below average in the field, and he wound up starting only 57 games. Hiura's pop keeps him on the Brewers' roster for the time being, but he looks like a part-time player at this point, and an atypical one at that, as he hit righties far better than lefties over the last three years. All of Hiura's slash numbers last season were in line with his career averages and he also benefited from a high BABIP, so while he remains only 26 years old, it seems unlikely he will find the form that allowed him to make a fantasy impact as a rookie.
Always a bat-first player with strikeout concerns, Hiura has remained a poor defender while his offense has completely fallen off over the past two seasons. He has hit .192 with a 36.6 K% and a 6.8 BB% in 443 plate appearances since the start of the 2020 season. Given his defensive limitations, he needs to rebound in a big way at the plate in order to play with any regularity this season, especially after the Brewers signed Andrew McCutchen with the intent of playing him primarily at designated hitter. Hiura will be working on playing the outfield this spring in an effort to increase his defensive versatility, but his average speed and below-average arm don't portend much more success out there than he had on the right side of the infield.
Hiura burst onto the scene in his 2019 rookie season, putting up elite numbers from the second base position almost immediately after making his big-league debut. As such, expectations were high for Hiura in his second season, particularly with him moving to a prime spot in the heart of the Brewers' order. While Hiura put up some of the best counting stats among second basemen in 2020, he also really struggled in the ratio departments, thanks mainly to a National League-worst 34.6 K% (among qualified hitters). With Hiura failing to make much contact, he also did not find himself on base much and stole just three bases last season. Hiura struck out a lot in his rookie season, too, but he was far less lucky in his second campaign, as his BABIP nosedived. Hiura will need to make some adjustments in Year 3, but he has the skills to be an elite hitter and has as good a chance to return value in 2021 as anyone.
Triple-A pitchers provided little challenge, and Hiura earned his first trip to the majors in mid-May thanks to a Travis Shaw injury. Hiura showed the hitting skills that made him a Top-10 prospect in baseball, but the Brewers still sent him back down when Shaw returned. Shaw struggled mightily, and Hiura became a regular in the big-league lineup in late June. All he did after that was impress at the plate, posting a .956 OPS the rest of the way. Hiura did strike out in 30.7 percent of his MLB at-bats last year, but he has the bat speed to cut that at least closer to league average. Of greater concern is Hiura's defense, which won't hurt his value in most formats but could lead to him being subbed out for a defensive replacement more than desired. Despite the flaws Hiura will be an everyday player and hit near the top of the batting order, and he has all the tools to be a five-category contributor.
One of the best hitters in the minors, Hiura was challenged (by his standards) for the first time at Double-A, but closed out the year strong, being named the MVP of the Arizona Fall League. He hit .323/.371/.563 with five homers and a 28:6 K:BB in 96 at-bats in the AFL, where he was sent to get more reps at second base, as an elbow injury limited him to DH duty early in his pro career. A side effect of his offensive exploits in the AFL may be that he needs less time at Triple-A before the Brewers summon their top prospect to the majors. He will need to force the issue, but if he appears to have mastered Pacific Coast League pitching, he could get the call early this summer. Hiura should hit for a high average -- he is a career .313 hitter in 165 minor-league games. He is aggressive at the plate, but regularly barrels balls to all fields, so that approach should work for him. Hiura may develop 25-homer pop and could chip in 10-plus steals early in his career.
Looking to add an impact bat with their first selection in the 2017 draft, the Brewers snapped up Hiura with the ninth overall pick. His statistics from his final collegiate season speak directly to his potential at the plate -- he led the country in both batting average (.442) and OBP (.567) while adding 33 extra-base hits and walking more than he struck out over his 199 at-bats. Further demonstrating that he possesses a special bat, he posted a 1.033 OPS in his first professional season. It won't be long before Hiura is ready to hit in the big leagues, while likely manning the keystone. An elbow injury has limited him -- not much, clearly -- since 2016, but he hopes to put that behind him this offseason. His potential to hit for a very high average while hitting 20-plus home runs and qualifying at a scarce position make him one of the top two or three targets for dynasty leagues from last year's draft class. As an advanced college hitter, he should move quickly and could reach the majors as soon as 2019.
More Fantasy News
Playing well this spring
1BDetroit Tigers  AAA
March 16, 2024
Hiura went 2-for-4 with a grand slam in Friday's Grapefruit League game against the Blue Jays and is now batting .304 this spring with a 1.042 OPS.
ANALYSIS
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Receives chance with Detroit
1BDetroit Tigers  AAA
February 16, 2024
Hiura signed a minor-league contract with the Tigers on Friday, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Elects free agency
1BFree Agent  AAA
Elbow
October 4, 2023
Hiura (elbow) elected to become a free agent Wednesday.
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Sidelined with elbow issue
1BMilwaukee Brewers  AAA
Elbow
September 8, 2023
Hiura is currently sidelined at Triple-A Nashville due to right elbow discomfort, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
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Crushing Triple-A pitching
1BMilwaukee Brewers  AAA
August 19, 2023
Hiura went 23-for-69 (.333) with six home runs, three doubles, 22 RBI and a 4:19 BB:K over his last 18 games with Triple-A Nashville.
ANALYSIS
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