Jesus Luzardo
Jesus Luzardo
23-Year-Old PitcherSP
Miami Marlins
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Luzardo tested positive for COVID-19 in July and worked out of the bullpen for the A's initially as he built up. He ended up making his first career start Aug. 4 and was up-and-down from there, turning in some clunkers but also flashing brilliance like he did in scoreless starts against Arizona and San Francisco. The lefty throws 95-96 mph with his four-seamer and sinker, and both his changeup and curveball had whiff rates of 45% per Statcast. His season ended in disappointing fashion with Luzardo serving up multiple homers in both postseason appearances (four in 7.2 innings). Luzardo has undergone Tommy John surgery and missed most of 2019 with a rotator cuff strain and subsequent Grade 2 lat strain, so there is considerable injury risk here. The play may be to wait to invest until 2022 since Luzardo still carries a lot of prospect shine and needs a season to build up before he can be a workhorse. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#109
ADP
$Traded to the Marlins in July of 2021.
Role not determined
PMiami Marlins  AAA
July 28, 2021
The Marlins have not decided if Luzardo will immediately join the rotation, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The Marlis acquired Luzardo in exchange for Starling Marte on Wednesday. A change of scenery could benefit Luzardo, as he struggled to a 6.87 ERA and 1.63 WHIP across 38 innings while with Oakland this season. He pitched both out of the bullpen and as a starter with his old club, though given the lack of depth currently in the Marlins' rotation, Luzardo figures to get a chance for significant work at some point prior to the close of the campaign.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
51
Last 10 Games
40
Last 5 Games
24
How many pitches does Jesus Luzardo generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Jesus Luzardo generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-50%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .240 118 31 11 25 7 0 3
Since 2019vs Right .263 349 84 25 84 14 0 18
2021vs Left .275 49 12 8 11 2 0 2
2021vs Right .304 124 28 8 35 5 0 9
2020vs Left .260 54 14 2 13 5 0 1
2020vs Right .256 194 45 15 45 7 0 8
2019vs Left .071 15 5 1 1 0 0 0
2019vs Right .143 31 11 2 4 2 0 1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-41%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-23%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-70%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 3.70 1.19 65.2 4 3 0 9.2 2.7 1.2
Since 2019Away 6.25 1.51 40.1 1 3 2 10.7 2.9 2.7
2021Home 6.17 1.50 23.1 1 2 0 8.9 3.5 2.3
2021Away 7.98 1.84 14.2 1 2 0 10.4 4.3 3.1
2020Home 2.40 1.02 41.1 3 1 0 9.1 2.2 0.7
2020Away 7.98 1.84 14.2 0 1 0 10.4 2.5 3.7
2019Home 0.00 1.00 1.0 0 0 0 18.0 9.0 0.0
2019Away 1.64 0.64 11.0 0 0 2 11.5 1.6 0.8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Jesus Luzardo compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.50
 
K/9
9.5
 
BB/9
3.8
 
HR/9
2.6
 
Fastball
95.6 mph
 
ERA
6.87
 
WHIP
1.63
 
BABIP
.343
 
GB/FB
1.02
 
Left On Base
64.4%
 
Exit Velocity
81.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.4%
 
Spin Rate
2306 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.0%
 
Swinging Strike
12.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
Luzardo seemed on track to make the Opening Day rotation before a rotator cuff strain and a subsequent Grade 2 lat strain wiped out much of his season. Including the playoffs, Luzardo logged 63.2 innings, so the top concern with him for 2020 is workload. It is unclear how the A's will manage his role throughout the season, but we shouldn't expect Luzardo to log much more than 100 innings in the big-league rotation. He threw his 83-mph curveball, 96-mph sinker, 87-mph changeup and 97-mph fourseam fastball all between 20 and 31 percent of the time, filling up the zone and effectively keeping hitters off balance. All four pitches have at least plus potential, especially when his command is on. He has the repertoire to improve upon his 42.3 GB% over a larger sample. Durability concerns will linger until the 6-foot southpaw proves he can handle a starter's workload, but Luzardo clearly has ace-level stuff.
The A’s jumped Luzardo over Low-A, assigned him to the Cal League and promoted him to Double-A after just three starts at High-A. It was around that point when he cemented his status as the best left-handed pitching prospect in the game. The foundation for his filthy three-pitch mix is a low-to-mid-90s fastball that he locates to both sides of the plate. Once ahead in the count, he sits hitters down with his plus changeup or above-average curveball. At 6-foot-1, 205 pounds, Luzardo doesn’t cut the figure of a typical ace, but has the combination of stuff, command and pitchability that is typically seen in frontline starters. He logged 109.1 innings in his first full season since undergoing Tommy John surgery, and should eclipse 150 innings if he stays relatively healthy. The A’s surprisingly called up Sean Manaea in late April of 2016 with just three starts at Triple-A under his belt, so we could see Luzardo in the big-league rotation pretty early this season.
It's not often that teams part with lefties with advanced pitchability who project to have at least two plus pitches, but that's exactly what the Nationals did in a mid-July trade that netted them Sean Doolittle and Ryan Madson while sending Luzardo, Sheldon Neuse and Blake Treinen to Oakland. Luzardo's fastball sits in the mid-90s and he boasts above-average command and a changeup that projects as a second plus offering. He fell to the 94th pick in the 2016 draft after undergoing Tommy John surgery less than two months before the draft. However, prior to the injury, he was seen as a first-round talent. Even if his curveball never becomes better than an average pitch, the package equates to a No. 3 starter. His 2017 production was outstanding, but he was working on strict pitch counts and his overall repertoire was way too advanced for most short-season hitters. Building up his workload and getting more consistent with his secondaries will be his directives for 2018. He could move extremely quickly once the training wheels come off in 2019.
More Fantasy News
Shipped to Marlins
PMiami Marlins  AAA
July 28, 2021
Luzardo was traded from the Athletics to the Marlins on Wednesday in exchange for outfielder Starling Marte, Jon Heyman of MLB Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Another abysmal Triple-A start
POakland Athletics  AAA
July 15, 2021
Luzardo allowed seven earned runs on seven hits, four walks and three hit batsman over 4.2 innings in Triple-A Las Vegas' loss to Reno on Wednesday. He struck out one.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles continue in Vegas
POakland Athletics  AAA
July 5, 2021
Luzardo allowed seven earned runs on six hits, two walks and a hit-by-pitch over two-thirds of an inning in a start for Triple-A Las Vegas against Sacramento on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Ups pitch count with Aviators
POakland Athletics  AAA
June 30, 2021
Luzardo worked up to 63 pitches in his second start for Triple-A Las Vegas in a win over Salt Lake on Sunday, allowing three earned runs on six hits and two walks over 3.1 innings while recording three strikeouts.
ANALYSIS
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Solid in return to minors
POakland Athletics  AAA
June 24, 2021
Luzardo started Triple-A Las Vegas' win over Tacoma on Tuesday and allowed one unearned run on two hits and two walks while recording four strikeouts over three innings. He also uncorked a wild pitch and didn't factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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