Mallex Smith
Mallex Smith
26-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Seattle Mariners
2020 Fantasy Outlook
While conventional analysis applies to players of Smith's ilk, it comes with an asterisk. His fourth percentile average exit velocity puts Smith at the mercy of a few more line drives or well-placed grounders he can beat out. Last season, Smith's groundball rate remained around 50%, but 5% of his line drives from 2018 were flyballs last season, helping to torpedo his batting average almost 70 points. A career-worst 24.9 K% didn't help matters. When he managed to get on, Smith delivered with an MLB-best 46 steals. His 2020 role is unclear as Seattle is flush with young outfielders at the major-league level with more on the way. A .300 OBP won't cut it, even with a bounty of swipes. That said, some positive hit-rate regression is likely along with a reversion to previous contact levels. Even so, without the likelihood of at least 500 plate appearances, Smith is simply a high-risk steals flier in roto leagues. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $2.35 million contract with the Mariners in January of 2020, avoiding arbitration.
Bat coming around
OFSeattle Mariners
March 3, 2020
Smith is hitting .308 (4-for-13) with a double, an RBI and a run over his first five spring games.
ANALYSIS
Smith opened Cactus League action by going 0-for-5 over his first pair of games, but the speedy outfielder has been swinging a hot bat since. The 26-year-old is expected to head into the 2020 campaign as the starting center fielder, although he'll have to significantly improve on the career-worst .227/.300/.335 line he generated in 2019 to keep a hold of the job over the long term.
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Batting Stats
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2019
2018
2017
2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
67
2
4
14
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
28
1
2
1
5
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+4%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+11%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+7%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+16%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .720 323 44 1 14 34 .290 .348 .372
Since 2017vs Right .692 1069 124 9 75 68 .254 .327 .365
2019vs Left .684 165 27 1 8 19 .264 .339 .345
2019vs Right .615 401 43 5 29 27 .213 .283 .331
2018vs Left .817 115 12 0 5 13 .337 .384 .433
2018vs Right .761 429 53 2 35 27 .285 .362 .399
2017vs Left .603 43 5 0 1 2 .268 .286 .317
2017vs Right .699 239 28 2 11 14 .270 .336 .363
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+28%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+35%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+32%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .781 722 96 7 53 62 .298 .370 .411
Since 2017Away .611 670 72 3 36 40 .225 .290 .321
2019Home .687 301 40 4 24 25 .253 .327 .361
2019Away .576 265 30 2 13 21 .199 .269 .307
2018Home .887 276 39 1 20 26 .347 .415 .471
2018Away .657 268 26 1 20 14 .244 .317 .340
2017Home .777 145 17 2 9 11 .299 .375 .402
2017Away .589 137 16 0 3 5 .240 .279 .310
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Stat Review
How does Mallex Smith compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.30
 
BB Rate
7.4%
 
K Rate
24.9%
 
BABIP
.302
 
ISO
.108
 
AVG
.227
 
OBP
.300
 
SLG
.335
 
OPS
.635
 
wOBA
.286
 
Exit Velocity
84.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
26.3%
 
Barrels/PA
1.4%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Mallex Smith
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
4 days ago
Erik Halterman analyzes the reliability of base stealers from one season to the next, and checks in on who's rising and falling in baseball, like Giancarlo Stanton.
Rounding Third: Fear of Missing Out
7 days ago
Jeff Erickson examines players he likes but, for whatever reason, has not drafted yet this spring, including A's first baseman Matt Olson.
My AL Tout Wars Team
My AL Tout Wars Team
18 days ago
18 days ago
Chris Liss bought a few injured players at a discount, figuring the delayed start to the season will give them time to heal.
RotoWire Roundtable: Updated Composite Rankings
20 days ago
Individual sets of fantasy baseball rankings by Jeff Erickson, Todd Zola, Clay Link and Erik Halterman are compiled into a top 300 composite ranking, with a two-week delay to the season factored in.
Farm Futures: Anticipating Callup Dates
25 days ago
James Anderson predicts the callup dates for many of the game's top prospects including outfielder Dylan Carlson, who has been the talk of Cardinals camp.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
Tampa Bay moved Smith back to Seattle this offseason, which ups his fantasy appeal significantly. He grew as a hitter in his third season against big-league pitching, and you could see it as the season went on. Smith hit .284/.348/.388 in the first half with an 8% walk rate and 20% strikeout rate, but got smoking hot after the break to the tune of .311/.390/.429 line with a 10% walk rate and a 16% strikeout rate. Smith will at times try to do more with his bat than he can and will have lapses in the running game when he trusts his legs more than he should. He can man all three outfield positions, but only grades out decently in left field. Fortunately, Seattle doesn't have any better options in center field in 2019. Smith will likely hit leadoff and should be able to repeat 40 steals since he will have an everyday job at the top of the lineup.
The Rays' crowded outfield and Smith's struggles led to three demotions to Triple-A in 2017. For the season, he went only 16-for-24 on the bases (66.7 percent). Smith must improve his efficiency or win a bigger role to maximize his 80-grade wheels. The 5-foot-10, 180-pounder may display more pop eventually, but he currently lives off groundballs (career 54.7 percentage). Still, his walks (8.7 percent) make up for his shaky contact rate (72.2 percent), and the lefty bat's improvement against southpaws last year (.268 in 41 at-bats) bodes well for a consistently useful batting average, close to his .270 mark from last year. While Denard Span further complicates the outfield in Tampa Bay, the rebuilding Rays want to continue examining Smith, who turns 25 in May, and at his peak, could consistently rank among the best base stealers in the game. Such upside is always in fantasy demand, making Smith a risky but logical sleeper in deeper formats.
Smith is a one-tool player, but it is a special tool. He does not have power, but man does he have speed. He is one of the legitimate 80-tool speedsters in the league, which is what makes him so enticing at a time when stolen bases are becoming more and more scarce. Smith has stolen base totals of 64, 88 and 57 over his past three seasons in the minor leagues and threw in another 16 steals last year in 72 games with Atlanta. His season was shortened by a broken thumb but also had a tough time finding at-bats with Ender Inciarte, Matt Kemp and Nick Markakis eating up the playing time. The speedster's playing time situation is still fairly murky following a trade to Tampa Bay, as it's still unclear whether he'll act in strong side of a platoon in the outfield or if he'll be sent back to Triple-A for more consistent at-bats. Smith knows how to take a walk and can make contact, so the pieces are there for a 40-steal season with playing time as long as he can keep the bat in his hands and not have it knocked out with fastballs. Remember the Billy Hamilton learning curve.
Elite speed is Smith's calling card and that tool was on full display once again last season, as he swiped 57 bases in 70 attempts between Double-A and Triple-A after totaling 88 steals in 2014 and 64 in 2013. He coupled that speed with a strong approach and good contact skills, hitting above .300 with for a second straight season with a career-low 14.3% strikeout rate. Power will never be a big part of the package with Smith, a 5-foot-9, 170-pound center fielder, but he has the potential to be a solid three-category fantasy contributor in time. Offseason trade acquisition Ender Inciarte appears likely to open the year in center field for the big club, but Smith could push Inciarte to left by midseason if he gets off to a strong start while possibly earning a spot at or near the top of the Atlanta batting order.
More Fantasy News
Gets over $2 million
OFSeattle Mariners
January 10, 2020
Smith and the Mariners avoided arbitration Friday by agreeing to a one-year, $2.35 million deal, freelance baseball writer Robert Murray reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting Friday
OFSeattle Mariners
September 27, 2019
Smith will sit Friday against Oakland.
ANALYSIS
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Rides pine Wednesday
OFSeattle Mariners
September 25, 2019
Smith is not in the lineup Wednesday against the Astros, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Held out Sunday
OFSeattle Mariners
September 22, 2019
Smith is not in the lineup for Sunday's game against the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Riding pine Friday
OFSeattle Mariners
September 20, 2019
Smith is not in the lineup for Friday's game against the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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