Adam Duvall
Adam Duvall
31-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Atlanta Braves
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Duvall was unable to follow up on his back-to-back 30 homer seasons. His offensive production fell off considerably and he was eventually traded to Atlanta before the deadline for some bench depth. His overall skills were in line with recent seasons, but Duvall regressed quite a bit in 2018 against southpaws, hitting .186/.286/.351 in 126 plate appearances. That was in sharp contrast to the above-average seasons Duvall enjoyed against lefties in both 2016 and 2017. We don't know if the 2018 numbers reflect the new Duvall or if they will prove an outlier against the better work that he did the prior two years. Statcast data says Duvall's overall numbers underperformed given the quality of his contact. The Braves brought back Nick Markakis, and now Duvall will need an injury to avoid being a short-side platoon player to begin 2019. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $2.88 million contract with the Braves in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Homers in loss
OFAtlanta Braves
September 12, 2019
Duvall went 1-for-2 with a two-run home run and a pair of walks in Thursday's loss to the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
Duvall brought the Braves within one with a two-run homer off Drew Smyly in the fourth inning. Across 29 games in the majors this season, the 31-year-old outfielder has tallied seven home runs while batting .256/.320/.533.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
1
9
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
12
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+19%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+48%
OPS vs LHP
2018
Even Split
2017
 
 
+25%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .842 329 38 19 48 2 .252 .331 .510
Since 2017vs Right .706 875 105 37 131 5 .225 .279 .427
2019vs Left 1.130 44 6 4 8 0 .333 .386 .744
2019vs Right .761 86 11 6 11 0 .235 .279 .481
2018vs Left .637 126 11 5 15 1 .189 .286 .351
2018vs Right .639 301 37 10 46 1 .198 .269 .370
2017vs Left .924 159 21 10 25 1 .279 .352 .571
2017vs Right .737 488 57 21 74 4 .239 .285 .452
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+5%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+16%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .724 592 71 24 79 5 .221 .302 .422
Since 2017Away .759 612 72 32 100 2 .242 .284 .474
2019Home .928 49 8 4 7 0 .256 .347 .581
2019Away .855 81 9 6 12 0 .273 .296 .558
2018Home .680 225 28 8 25 1 .199 .298 .383
2018Away .593 202 20 7 36 1 .191 .248 .346
2017Home .723 318 35 12 47 4 .232 .299 .425
2017Away .837 329 43 19 52 1 .265 .304 .533
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Stat Review
How does Adam Duvall compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.18
 
BB Rate
5.4%
 
K Rate
30.0%
 
BABIP
.306
 
ISO
.300
 
AVG
.267
 
OBP
.315
 
SLG
.567
 
OPS
.882
 
wOBA
.378
 
Exit Velocity
90.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
45.1%
 
Barrels/PA
10.0%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Adam Duvall
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27 days ago
Clay Link looks at appearances by position and makes note of multi-position eligibility and lost eligibility for 2020.
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34 days ago
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79 days ago
Despite some offensive hiccups this season, Jan Levine believes Harrison Bader's recent form will keep him seeing plenty of action.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
After being a pleasant surprise from the Mike Leake trade, many thought that Duvall would have difficulty repeating his 2016 breakout performance. However, that's essentially what Duvall did in 2017, reprising nearly the same output in all five standard categories. It appeared that he might even exceed his 2016 production, but a September collapse (.218/.284/.276 with no homers in his last 30 games) prevented that. The dilemma for the Reds is whether his low-OBP, good-power level is good enough when the team is ready to contend. Between Duvall, Billy Hamilton and Scott Schebler, they have three outfielders that are good at some aspects of the game but lacking in others -- all while Jesse Winker and Nick Senzel are knocking at the door to find playing time. The guess here is that Duvall will maintain his level and playing time for one more year, but when he starts to become more expensive the Reds will find better alternatives.
Duvall's power long made him an intriguing player in the Giants' organization, but prior to last season, he was never on the field for more than 27 big league games in a season. The Reds, in need of offense and help in left field, had little difficulty finding playing time for Duvall in 2016, and he turned 608 plate appearances into a .241/.297/.498 line with 33 homers and 103 RBI. As the season progressed, Duvall showed improvement in his plate discipline, lowering his strikeout rate from 29.0 percent before the All-Star break to 24.6 percent thereafter, and pushing his walk rate from 4.9 percent to 8.8 percent during that span. With a better eye at the plate, however, he offered less pop, slugging .434 in the second half after toting a .551 mark in the first half. Duvall should reprise his role as the Reds' regular left fielder to begin 2017, where he may end up competing for at-bats with Scott Schebler once Jesse Winker becomes a fixture in the lineup.
Duvall has always had tremendous power, but his ability to control the strike zone has been sub-optimal. His brief big league trial with the Reds after he arrived in the Mike Leake trade demonstrated both of those qualities. He homered five times and had a .265 ISO in 72 plate appearances, but he also struck out 36 percent of the time. He could fit in one of two openings for the Reds in 2016 — either in left field where he played last year, or third base in the wake of the Todd Frazier trade. It's possible that he reaches 20 homers and hits .210 in the process.
It is tough to overlook a corner infielder that owns a career slash line of .269/.345/.501 in the minors and hit .298/.360/.599 last season, but you should. Duvall thrived in the Pacific Coast League last season as he did two seasons ago in the California League when he hit 30 home runs. He has 100 minor league home runs in 500 games, but is 26 and has seen just 77 plate appearances in the big leagues. He did hit three home runs last season in that time, but also struck out 20 times. His minor-league splits show someone who hits better against lefties but does not embarrass himself against righties. He is not a prospect, but players who show pop tend to get their chances, and Duvall’s future as a backup to the corners will hinge upon his ability to make more contact the second time around.
More Fantasy News
Back with big club
OFAtlanta Braves
September 5, 2019
Duvall was recalled from Triple-A Gwinnett on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Optioned to Triple-A
OFAtlanta Braves
August 26, 2019
Duvall was optioned to Triple-A Gwinnett on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Sits against righty
OFAtlanta Braves
August 22, 2019
Duvall is not in Thursday's lineup against the Marlins.
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Sitting Tuesday
OFAtlanta Braves
August 20, 2019
Duvall is not in Tuesday's lineup against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Back in majors
OFAtlanta Braves
August 17, 2019
Duvall was recalled from Triple-A Gwinnett prior to Saturday's game against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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