Kenta Maeda
Kenta Maeda
32-Year-Old PitcherSP
Minnesota Twins
2020 Fantasy Outlook
For the second straight season, Maeda transitioned to the bullpen in September, excelling with two wins, three saves and three holds. He pitched well as a starter, despite what a bloated 4.11 ERA says. Still, this is two consecutive years Maeda's K% increased while his BB% decreased as a reliever. After being traded to Minnesota, Maeda should be expected to be a starter for most of the year, though the Twins could skip a start here or there. His 26.4 K% and 8.3 BB% as a starter continue to render Maeda above average in the role. Maeda's bread-and-butter pitch remains his splitter, which he used a little more than in the past while also increasing usage of his slider and change at the expense of his two-seamer (which he bagged completely) and 93-mph four-seamer. Read Past Outlooks
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#164
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$Signed an eight-year, $25 million contract with the Dodgers in January of 2016. Traded to the Twins in February of 2020.
Impresses against Detroit
PMinnesota Twins
September 23, 2020
Maeda (6-1) earned the win Wednesday against the Tigers. He allowed three runs on four hits while fanning nine across six innings.
ANALYSIS
Maeda posted yet another quality start in his final turn of the regular campaign. The former Dodgers hurler ended the regular season with a 2.70 ERA and is expected to play a big role for the Twins in the postseason as one of Minnesota's top arms. He also ended the regular season striking out at least seven in each of his final seven outings.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
91
How many pitches does Kenta Maeda generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Kenta Maeda generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-28%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-25%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-36%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-24%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .246 693 159 64 153 27 6 23
Since 2018vs Right .176 688 234 40 112 29 2 20
2020vs Left .187 132 36 9 23 1 1 4
2020vs Right .141 93 35 1 13 3 0 4
2019vs Left .247 312 65 30 69 13 2 11
2019vs Right .158 312 104 21 45 8 2 11
2018vs Left .276 249 58 25 61 13 3 8
2018vs Right .209 283 95 18 54 18 0 5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-28%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-62%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-39%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-3%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 3.09 0.96 175.0 15 11 1 10.6 2.3 1.1
Since 2018Away 4.32 1.22 164.2 8 8 4 10.2 3.2 1.2
2020Home 1.33 0.52 27.0 2 0 0 11.0 2.0 0.3
2020Away 3.48 0.95 33.2 3 1 0 10.2 1.1 1.9
2019Home 3.13 0.85 83.1 8 3 1 10.0 1.8 1.4
2019Away 5.12 1.34 70.1 2 5 2 9.7 4.4 1.2
2018Home 3.76 1.28 64.2 5 8 0 11.1 3.1 1.0
2018Away 3.86 1.24 60.2 3 2 2 10.8 3.1 0.9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Kenta Maeda compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
8.00
 
K/9
10.8
 
BB/9
1.4
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
91.4 mph
 
ERA
2.70
 
WHIP
0.75
 
BABIP
.223
 
GB/FB
1.70
 
Left On Base
80.2%
 
Exit Velocity
79.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.4%
 
Spin Rate
2192 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
15.4%
 
Swinging Strike
17.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Kenta Maeda
FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Targets
4 days ago
Juan Carlos Blanco looks over Wednesday's slate and expects Kenta Maeda to continue his excellent season in a clash with the Tigers.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Down the Stretch They Come
8 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's pitching as the season comes into the final stretch. What's that mean for aces like Gerrit Cole with the playoffs on tap?
Mound Musings: The 2020 Season Pitching Awards Issue
10 days ago
Brad Johnson offers up his pitching awards for the season, starting with the Newcomer Award going to the Marlins’ Sixto Sanchez.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Last Call
15 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's staring pitching as the regular season comes down the stretch. This the last week to be relatively confident in two-start opportunities.
FanDuel MLB: Friday Targets
16 days ago
Chris Bennet has your Friday FanDuel recommendations, including superstar Mike Trout in the hitter-friendly confines of Coors Field.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Maeda began the season as starter, but finished it in the bullpen. He held opponents to a .233 average as a starter with a 28% strikeout rate, but as a reliever struck out 35% of the hitters he faced while opponents batted .265 against him. The 31 K-BB% out of the bullpen was elite, even if it was only 74 batters faced. Maeda's move to the 'pen was one related to a crowded house more than a degradation of skill, so don't assume his days as a starter are over. Maeda's skills play up in either role -- the lack of clarity around his role should not overly concern you if you are drafting early. The right-hander is a classic example of "draft skills, not role" in his current shape. Either way, you should realize a profit with Maeda as a late-round pick.
Maeda improved slightly upon his strong strikeout and walk rates from his rookie season, but he missed time due to injury and was relegated to the bullpen on a couple of occasions. The Dodgers were also conservative in his starts, limiting Maeda's exposure to opposing lineups -- Maeda threw more than five innings just seven times all year, which led to a 40-inning drop in regular-season workload. Maeda throws five different pitches and he mixes them reasonably well, but he induced fewer swings on pitches out of the strike zone overall (29.9 percent O-Swing rate), struggled on the road (5.62 ERA) and continued to run into trouble against lefties (.263/.322/.458). Perhaps the biggest thing working against Maeda in fantasy is the fact that the Dodgers have evolved past the "workhorse" mentality, instead using the 10-day DL to rotate guys and keep them fresh. The skills are solid, but Maeda's workload will likely be capped once again.
Signed through 2023 for a total of $25 million (plus incentives), Maeda is already looking like one of the great bargains in baseball after his first season stateside. As the calendar turned to July, Maeda sat with a 2.82 ERA, and although he did slip some late in the year, he finished with 16 wins, strong ratios and an average of more than a strikeout per inning. Elbow issues drove his price down last offseason, and while Maeda made 32 regular-season starts, he required additional rest for 19 of them. The Dodgers want Maeda to add mass this offseason with the hope that his body will hold up to a heavier workload (and a more regular schedule) in 2017. Thirty more innings or so, even if they come with some regression with the ratios, could thrust Maeda into elite company among fantasy starters. Best of all, his cost may remain suppressed as the memory of his late-season struggles and injury concerns linger.
Maeda, who was regarded as the top pitcher in Japan, signed an eight-year deal with the Dodgers in the offseason. Comparisons to his most immediate predecessors, Yu Darvish and Masahiro Tanaka, are a bit unfair, as both were historically unprecedented. Maeda probably isn't MLB ace material, as his K/9 rate has never exceeded 8.1, but it has also never fallen below 7.3, and his BB/9 rate has steadily hovered around 1.9. Maeda's success has come from limiting hits, and more recently, keeping the ball in the park. Maeda's fastball sits 89-92 mph with some movement, and it reaches 94 mph on occasion, and he features two variations of a slider. Above all, Maeda has been remarkably durable to this point, throwing at least 175 innings in each of the past seven seasons, but irregularities were found in his elbow during his physical with the Dodgers, which helps explain all the incentives in his contract.
Maeda entered 2014 regarded as the top pitcher in Japan after the departure of Masahiro Tanaka to MLB. While his W-L record declined to 11-9 and his ERA increased to a five-year high, he still had a 2.60 ERA with a 161:41 K:BB ratio in 187 innings. Still, the buzz about him moving to MLB declined and his team decided not to let him leave via the posting in 2015, even though he's said he wants to pitch in the U.S. He could be posted for the 2016 season and he'll be eligible for international free agency in 2017. When Maeda eventually does show up in the majors, fans expecting another Tanaka or Yu Darvish will probably be disappointed. Listed at 6-foot, 179 pounds, Maeda is physically smaller than Japan's recent exports. His arsenal of an 88-94 mph fastball, a slider and a changeup is more respectable than it is eye-popping. On the plus side, Maeda has good control, isn't home-run prone and offers a strong track record of health. He'll certainly be near the top of a big-league rotation when he decides to move to the States.
Maeda is regarded as the second best pitcher in Japan after Masahiro Tanaka. He went 15-7 with a 2.10 ERA and 158:40 K:BB ratio in 175.2 innings last season. When signing his 2014 contract with the Hiroshima Carp, Maeda declared his intent to move to MLB for 2015. He's been a reliable innings eater throughout his NPB career; and features a fastball at 90-94, and breaking pitch that traverses the plane from cutter to slider. He should figure prominently in a 2015 MLB rotation as a result.
More Fantasy News
Fans eight in decent outing
PMinnesota Twins
September 17, 2020
Maeda allowed two runs on five hits and struck out eight over five innings Thursday night against the White Sox. He didn't factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Outshines Bieber for fifth win
PMinnesota Twins
September 11, 2020
Maeda (5-1) did not allow a run while giving up four hits and two walks across seven innings as he earned the win Friday against the Indians. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Fans eight in no-decision
PMinnesota Twins
September 6, 2020
Maeda didn't factor into the decision in Saturday's 4-3 win over the Tigers, giving up three runs on two hits and a walk over six-plus innings. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out eight in loss
PMinnesota Twins
August 30, 2020
Maeda (4-1) allowed three runs on six hits and no walks while striking out eight over six innings as he was charged with the loss Sunday against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Won't start in doubleheader
PMinnesota Twins
August 29, 2020
Maeda's scheduled start was pushed back to Sunday, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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