Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Milwaukee Brewers
Out
Injury Kneecap
Est. Return 2/1/2020
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Few anticipated that the Brewers were trading for the NL MVP when they acquired Yelich from the Marlins last January, but that's exactly what occurred. Yelich got off to a bit of a slow start, but he kept getting better and better at the plate, and had one of the best second halves of all time, posting a 1.219 OPS after the All-Star break. His second-half surge helped him set career highs in nearly every category, and his doubles decreased only because he doubled his home-run total from the year before. Yelich is able to play all three outfield positions and had a better average against lefties (.337) than righties (.321) last season, so there is never much reason to take him out of the lineup. His conditions will be almost the same in his age-27 season. Last year, Yelich proved he has a very high ceiling, but it is his incredibly high floor that makes him such an appealing first-round pick. He is a true five-category building block. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a seven-year, $49.5 million contract with the Marlins in March of 2015. Traded to the Brewers in January of 2018.
Not ruling out return this season
OFMilwaukee Brewers
Kneecap
October 1, 2019
Yelich's rehab from a fractured kneecap is "going great," according to Adam McCalvy of MLB.com, and he responded, "It would be cutting it close, but you can't rule anything out," when asked about a possible return during the World Series, Robert Murray of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
The Brewers are going to need quite a few games to give Yelich a chance to return this season, but based on his comments, it would appear he has a chance to beat the 8-to-10 week return timetable he was given when he suffered the injury. Regardless of whether or not he makes it back this season, all is looking well with his long-term prospects, and he should be back at 100 percent well in advance of spring training in 2020.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
68
19
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
32
8
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+27%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+2%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+16%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .885 567 82 25 75 17 .294 .370 .515
Since 2017vs Right .992 1358 236 73 213 51 .318 .410 .582
2019vs Left .936 202 32 12 24 9 .277 .381 .555
2019vs Right 1.189 378 68 32 73 21 .358 .455 .734
2018vs Left .983 192 30 10 33 6 .337 .396 .587
2018vs Right 1.007 459 88 26 77 16 .321 .405 .602
2017vs Left .722 173 20 3 18 2 .266 .329 .392
2017vs Right .837 521 80 15 63 14 .288 .382 .455
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+7%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+12%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+13%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .995 925 154 56 147 34 .312 .402 .592
Since 2017Away .928 1000 164 42 141 34 .310 .395 .533
2019Home 1.201 284 52 27 59 15 .347 .451 .750
2019Away 1.006 296 48 17 38 15 .312 .409 .597
2018Home 1.061 315 59 22 55 10 .324 .406 .655
2018Away .944 336 59 14 55 12 .328 .399 .545
2017Home .757 326 43 7 33 9 .271 .356 .401
2017Away .852 368 57 11 48 7 .292 .380 .472
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Stat Review
How does Christian Yelich compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.68
 
BB Rate
13.8%
 
K Rate
20.3%
 
BABIP
.355
 
ISO
.342
 
AVG
.329
 
OBP
.429
 
SLG
.671
 
OPS
1.100
 
wOBA
.460
 
Exit Velocity
93.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
50.7%
 
Barrels/PA
10.2%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Christian Yelich
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5 days ago
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6 days ago
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21 days ago
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21 days ago
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FanDuel MLB: Saturday Breakdown
24 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
While he's still just 26 years old, Yelich has already built a remarkable track record of consistency at the big-league level. His strikeout rate has ranged from 19.2 percent to 20.9 percent over the past four seasons (all with 525-plus plate appearances), while his batting average has ranged from .282 to .300 in that time. He's steadily walked in over 10 percent of his plate appearances while making hard contact with at least one-third of his batted balls. His flyball rate is still too low, but Yelich improved in that regard last season, upping his flyball rate more than five percentage points to 25.2 percent. The park change following the trade to Milwaukee should help boost his power. Yelich was given the thumbs up to run again last season and he capitalized, going 16-for-18 on the basepaths. Assuming he keeps the green light with the Brewers, which seems likely given manager Craig Counsell's tendencies, Yelich should easily return top-30 value in the outfield.
Coming into the 2016 campaign, Yelich totaled 20 homers in 1,458 career plate appearances with the Marlins. He matched that, then added another for good luck, sending 21 long balls out of the yard last season. A power spike has long been expected for Yelich as he hits the ball hard, it's just that most of his batted balls are line drives and grounders. He lofted a few more balls, touching 20 percent flyballs for the first time in his career (most power hitters nestle around 40 percent). The added pop emanated from a surge to a 24 percent HR/FB mark, the 14th highest mark among qualified hitters. The safe play is to expect some give-back, dropping Yelich's homers into the low to mid-teens. Also of concern are dwindling steals as Yelich snagged just nine in 13 attempts. He's still a very solid hitter with a projectable floor. Just don't chase last season's tenuous power breakout.
Yelich’s gap-to-gap power continues to play well in cavernous Marlins Park, as the youngster recorded his first .300 season and smacked 30 doubles for a second consecutive season in 2015. Yelich has been remarkably consistent in his three-year career, recording a 117 wRC+ in each one. Unfortunately, what Marlins Park gives in doubles, it takes away in home runs, as Yelich has mustered just three of his 20 career home runs at his home park. He hit seven last year and has a career high of nine, and as long as he is playing in Miami, he’ll struggle to reach double digits. He makes up for it with loads of groundball base hits — he hits four groundballs for every fly ball. He stole 16 bases in 2015 and has 37 in the past two years, and should be expected to keep running with the Marlins going forward.
Yelich backed up his strong finish to the 2013 season with a sophomore breakout at age 22. He truly arrived down the stretch, catching fire during a .339/.425/.459 August as he put up his first 20-steal steal season, scoring 94 runs and collecting 54 RBI along the way. Yelich finished with a steady .284/.362/.402 slash line, showing significant improvement versus left-handed pitching during his second season -- .476 OPS vs. lefties in 2013 and a .819 OPS vs. lefties in 2014. The former first-round draft pick established himself as the Marlins’ leadoff hitter in the second half of 2014, though his smooth line-drive swing and advanced approach at the plate would play at almost any lineup position. Yelich will continue provide a solid average, nice speed, and plenty of runs scored if he sticks atop the Miami lineup as he continues to mature in the majors with the potential to turn into a real run producer if given a chance to bat lower in the order next season.
A strong spring training to open the 2013 season put Yelich on the fast-track toward the majors, and after pounding out a .275/.359/.504 line across three stops in the minors, the sweet-swinging lefty made his MLB debut in late July. He knocked a pair of hits out of the two-hole in his debut, driving home his first major league RBI, and never looked back. At 21 years old, with just under 1,200 minor league at-bats to his name, Yelich posted a stellar .288/.370/.396 slash line in his first 62 major league games, adding four home runs and 10 steals. Not without his warts, Yelich struggled mightily versus left-handed pitching, collecting just 15 hits in 91 at-bats (.165 average) against southpaws while watching his strikeout rate and walk rate both move in the wrong direction when a lefty was on the mound. Still, the future remains bright for an emerging talent capable of a .290 average, double-digit home runs and 20-plus steals right now, with potential to add some balance to his platoon split and strength to his power stroke down the line.
Consider to be the most exciting offensive prospect in the Marlins' minor league system, Yelich made strides in 2012 while playing the majority of his season at High-A Jupiter. He posted a strong .330/.404/.519 line over 397 at-bats while blasting 12 home runs with 29 doubles and five triples while driving in 48 runs on the year. Yelich enjoyed yet another efficient campaign on the basepaths, swiping 20 bags in 26 attempts after going 32-for-37 in that area in 2011. While a shot at the big leagues seems a bit of a stretch in 2013, Yelich should continue to progress towards that goal and could be fast-tracked to Miami as part of the franchise's most recent rebuilding effort.
Ah, the sweet lefty swing. Every once in a while a player comes along who has it, and scouts swoon over that pure unfettered stroke, projecting great things from it. Yelich is the latest example, and while some folks see him turn on a pitch and start throwing around comparisons to Mark Grace or John Olerud, it's important to remember that he could just as easily end up as the next Hal Morris or Dave Magadan. For now he's a kid who's trying to cut it in left field despite an awkward throwing motion, in case he doesn't develop enough power to fit at first base. His first season of full-season ball was mostly a success, with the 32 steals in 37 attempts being a very pleasant surprise, but he didn't put up outrageous triple slash numbers. Until we see a concrete spike in that batting average or slugging percentage, don't fall too much in love with that swing.
More Fantasy News
Needs 8-10 weeks to recover
OFMilwaukee Brewers
Kneecap
September 12, 2019
Yelich was officially diagnosed with a right patella fracture and will need 8-to-10 weeks to fully recover, Sophia Minnaert of FOX Sports Wisconsin reports.
ANALYSIS
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Won't require surgery
OFMilwaukee Brewers
Kneecap
September 11, 2019
Yelich won't need to undergo surgery to address his fractured right kneecap and is expected to be out six weeks, Jim Bowden of The Athletic reports.
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Next update coming Thursday
OFMilwaukee Brewers
Kneecap
September 11, 2019
GM David Stearns told Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel that the Brewers will not have any additional updates on Yelich (kneecap) until Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Done for season
OFMilwaukee Brewers
Kneecap
September 10, 2019
Yelich will miss the rest of the 2019 season after suffering a fractured right kneecap during Tuesday's game against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Exits Tuesday's game
OFMilwaukee Brewers
Knee
September 10, 2019
Yelich was removed from Tuesday's game at Miami after fouling a ball off his right knee, Sophia Minnaert of Fox Sports Wisconsin reports.
ANALYSIS
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