Jonathan Villar
Jonathan Villar
28-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Baltimore Orioles
2019 Fantasy Outlook
After a 2016 breakout, a 2017 dropoff and a tumultuous first half with sporadic playing time, Villar surged again after a trade to Baltimore. Playing close to every day, the speedster hit eight home runs and stole 21 bases in 24 chances over the final two months, helping many owners to fantasy championships. In the past three years, he's tied for third with 120 steals, and he boasts a 9.2 BB% during that span. He hits a lot of balls on the ground but has legitimate raw power, as evidenced by Villar's hefty 18.9% HR/FB since 2015. This all comes with a 27.3 K%, but even with that hindrance, he's among the best bets to go 15-30 in the majors. Following their teardown last summer, Baltimore should hand Villar full-time work, and there's no downside to letting him run wild. Given the surging market for stolen bases, Villar will carry a high price, but at least it won't be as great as his pre-2017 cost. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $4.83 million contract with the Orioles in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Swipes 40th bag
2BBaltimore Orioles
September 28, 2019
Villar went 2-for-4 with an RBI, two runs and a steal in Saturday's win over Boston.
ANALYSIS
The steal was Villar's 40th of the season. He won't finish anywhere near his 62 steals from 2016 but is nevertheless having quite a strong year, posting an above-average batting line for the first time since that year while hitting a career-best 24 homers. That home run total trails only Ronald Acuna and Christian Yelich among players with at least 25 steals.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
90
7
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
15
11
1
24
9
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+6%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+10%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+4%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .704 498 56 15 45 22 .252 .302 .402
Since 2017vs Right .745 1166 158 34 114 76 .265 .331 .414
2019vs Left .742 246 30 9 25 9 .264 .310 .432
2019vs Right .819 467 81 15 48 31 .280 .354 .465
2018vs Left .728 124 15 4 13 10 .267 .315 .414
2018vs Right .702 391 39 10 33 25 .257 .328 .374
2017vs Left .607 128 11 2 7 3 .214 .273 .333
2017vs Right .689 308 38 9 33 20 .252 .301 .388
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+7%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+25%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .756 836 109 29 85 43 .263 .325 .431
Since 2017Away .709 828 105 20 74 55 .259 .320 .389
2019Home .810 352 52 16 39 16 .265 .333 .476
2019Away .775 361 59 8 34 24 .283 .344 .431
2018Home .704 241 26 6 20 14 .260 .321 .384
2018Away .713 274 28 8 26 21 .259 .328 .385
2017Home .730 243 31 7 26 13 .262 .317 .413
2017Away .582 193 18 4 14 10 .213 .262 .320
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Stat Review
How does Jonathan Villar compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.35
 
BB Rate
8.6%
 
K Rate
24.7%
 
BABIP
.341
 
ISO
.179
 
AVG
.274
 
OBP
.339
 
SLG
.453
 
OPS
.792
 
wOBA
.347
 
Exit Velocity
88.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
29.0%
 
Barrels/PA
4.3%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jonathan Villar
Games Played By Position: 2020 Eligibility Notes
27 days ago
Clay Link looks at appearances by position and makes note of multi-position eligibility and lost eligibility for 2020.
Collette Calls: More Accountability
42 days ago
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MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
42 days ago
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46 days ago
James Paxton has won 10 straight starts, and Chris Bennett says that while a pitch-count limit for him might be in play, injuries to the Rangers’ lineup make it less scary to pitch against.
Regan's Rumblings: All Surprise Team
49 days ago
Dave Regan concludes the season with his list of players whom he didn’t expect to step up and make the significant contributions they have, including Twins catcher Mitch Garver.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Big things were expected from Villar after he hit 19 home runs and stole 62 bases in 2016, and he routinely went in the early rounds of last year's drafts. However, his fantasy stock instead took a nosedive due to his inability to make contact early in the season, and then due to his inability to even see the field over the latter portion of the campaign. Villar still managed to hit 11 home runs and steal 23 bases in 2017 despite his struggles, but he is no longer the future at second base for the Brewers. In fact, he may not even open the 2018 with a defined role in Milwaukee. Villar's power and speed potential makes him an intriguing rebound candidate, but if he is unable to show better plate discipline early in the season and beyond, he'll likely face an uphill battle to claim an everyday role.
Villar broke out in 2016, as he not only led the major leagues in stolen bases with 62 (and caught stealing, with 18), but also posted a career best .826 OPS with 19 home runs while playing solid defense across the infield at shortstop, third base and second base. The Brewers acquired Travis Shaw over the offseason, and his presence combined with the callup of top prospect shortstop Orlando Arcia will lock Villar into the starting second baseman role for 2017. The Brewers ran wild in 2016, and there's little reason to believe Craig Counsell's philosophy will change drastically in one year, so expect another big stolen-base total from Villar. The biggest questions, however, pertain to the sustainability of his power production, and the significant improvement in his walk rate, which jumped to a career-best 11.6 percent last season. Most likely, he'll give some home runs back in 2017 after his HR/FB rate nearly doubled from 10.0 percent in 2015 to 19.6 percent last season.
Villar secured an Opening Day roster spot with the Astros after hitting .288 and displaying increased versatility on defense last spring, but he only made 53 appearances for the club and was limited to spot-start and pinch-running duties. Quite simply, the door never opened for regular playing time, as Luis Valbuena, Jed Lowrie and Marwin Gonzalez saw most of the at-bats behind stars Jose Altuve and Carlos Correa. The 24-year-old did not allow that to slow him down, however, as he swiped 35 bases in 70 games with Triple-A Fresno. A November trade to Milwaukee cleared Villar's path considerably, he will likely serve primarily in a utility role so long as Jean Segura is in town.
Villar disappointed fantasy owners who drafted him for his 40-plus stolen base potential last season, as the Dominican native struggled offensively and swiped only 17 bags in 87 games with the Astros. By comparison, the 23-year-old shortstop had 18 steals in 54 games the year prior. He did hit seven home runs, but Houston eventually decided his .209/.267/.354 slash line and 18 errors at shortstop wasn't cutting it and turned to Marwin Gonzalez and Gregorio Petit to man the position. With uber-prospect Carlos Correa at least a year away from reaching the big leagues, Villar should get an opportunity to redeem himself this season, but he'll need to improve his fielding skills (.949), contact rate (70%) and cut down on his strikeouts (27.7%) in order for that happen.
Once the Astros realized that Ronny Cedeno wasn't cutting it as their starting shortstop, Villar was given an opportunity to show what he could do at the big league level. After displaying elite speed in the minors, the 22-year-old Dominican Republic native was extremely aggressive on the basepaths for Houston, swiping 18 bags in 54 games. He made some baserunning gaffes along the way (he was caught stealing eight times) and he didn't hit the ball particularly well (.243 batting average, 29.5 percent strikeout rate), but the switch-hitter showed good plate discipline (10 percent walk rate) while hitting from the leadoff and ninth spots in the batting order. With top prospect Carlos Correa still a few years away, Villar will be given an extended look in Houston this season. He should be a relatively cheap source of steals in 2014 drafts since he does not offer much outside of that category.
Villar was putting together a passable season at Double-A as a 21-year-old before deciding to punch a door in July, which caused him to miss most of the rest of the year. While some days Villar flashes his potential and gives you a glimpse of a future big league star, most days he looks pretty average. Villar improved his plate discipline somewhat from 2011, increasing the walks while decreasing the strikeouts, but he will have to do a lot more growing as he reaches the upper minors. Villar was probably the closest middle-infield prospect to the big leagues in the Houston system, but after missing so much time in 2012, a September callup is probably optimistic.
Villar continued to fail to live up to expectations again in 2011, hitting .241/.320/.396 with 34 stolen bases in 130 minor league games. If he learned some plate discipline, Villar could become someone that owners could count on to do a little bit of everything. Without that growth, his long-term future is probably best suited to role-player status. He's still just 20, and should start the year back in Double-A.
Villar came over to the Astros in the midseason deal that sent Roy Oswalt to Philadelphia. Villar is fast and athletic, but still very raw as a hitter. He will need plenty of time to develop, and bear in mind the Astros do not have a good track record with similar prospects. The steals alone will keep him on the fantasy radar, but he may never nail down a major league job if he can't rack up enough hits and draw more walks.
More Fantasy News
Steals 39th bag
2BBaltimore Orioles
September 25, 2019
Villar went 2-for-5 with a stolen base in a 3-2 victory against the Blue Jays on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in three-hit effort
2BBaltimore Orioles
September 24, 2019
Villar went 3-for-8 with a solo home run and an additional run and RBI in Monday's 11-10 loss to the Blue Jays in 15 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Swipes 37th base
2BBaltimore Orioles
September 20, 2019
Villar went 1-for-3 with a steal, a run and a walk during a 5-3 victory over the Mariners on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Scores three runs
2BBaltimore Orioles
September 18, 2019
Villar went 3-for-5 with a double, a solo home run, a stolen base and three runs scored Wednesday against the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Steals base No. 35
2BBaltimore Orioles
September 15, 2019
Villar went 1-for-4 with two RBI, a run scored, a walk and a stolen base in the Orioles' 8-2 win over the Tigers on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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