Zach Eflin
29-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
0-1
ERA
9.53
WHIP
1.24
K
5
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
The Rays never spend on free agency. Their last big buy prior to Eflin was a three-year deal with James Loney, so when the Rays gave Eflin a 3 year deal for $40M, it should have gotten more attention. The front office, and pitching coach Kyle Snyder, clearly saw they could get more from him, and indeed they did. They tweaked his repertoire to use more of his cutter, added a sweeper, and encouraged him to visit different parts of the strikezone allowing Eflinl to finish as the sixth most valuable starting pitcher in fantasy baseball in 2023. The 16 wins and 177.2 innings, and 186 strikeouts were career highs as he remained more durable than he had been in recent years with Philadelphia. 2023 was also the third straight season he kept his walk rate below five percent. The risk with Eflin is always his health, but the peripherals are as rock solid as his knee has been unstable in recent years. Read Past Outlooks
Struggles in 2024 opener
Eflin (0-1) went 5.2 innings and allowed six runs on six hits and one walk during Thursday's loss to Toronto. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
Eflin was roughed up by the Blue Jays' potent offense, giving up solo home runs to George Springer, Vladimir Guerrero and Cavan Biggio. Most of the damage against Eflin came in the sixth, where he gave up five of his six earned runs. Eflin is set for another test to start 2024, with a matchup against the Rangers on tap for his next projected start.
Eflin was roughed up by the Blue Jays' potent offense, giving up solo home runs to George Springer, Vladimir Guerrero and Cavan Biggio. Most of the damage against Eflin came in the sixth, where he gave up five of his six earned runs. Eflin is set for another test to start 2024, with a matchup against the Rangers on tap for his next projected start.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
81
Last 10 Games
81
Last 5 Games
81
How many pitches does Zach Eflin generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Zach Eflin generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-13%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .231 | 111 | 23 | 109 | 14 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .244 | 145 | 17 | 125 | 16 | |||
2024vs Left | .286 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
2024vs Right | .250 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | |||
2023vs Left | .210 | 80 | 13 | 69 | 9 | |||
2023vs Right | .259 | 106 | 11 | 89 | 10 | |||
2022vs Left | .277 | 29 | 9 | 38 | 4 | |||
2022vs Right | .209 | 36 | 6 | 32 | 4 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-35%
ERA at Home
2024
-100%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.10 | 0.97 | 151.0 | 9.8 | 1.3 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 4.75 | 1.19 | 108.0 | 7.7 | 1.6 | ||||
2024Home | 9.53 | 1.24 | 5.2 | 7.9 | 1.6 | ||||
2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2023Home | 3.30 | 1.04 | 103.2 | 10.4 | 1.2 | ||||
2023Away | 3.77 | 1.00 | 74.0 | 8.0 | 1.2 | ||||
2022Home | 1.73 | 0.74 | 41.2 | 8.4 | 1.3 | ||||
2022Away | 6.88 | 1.59 | 34.0 | 6.9 | 2.4 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Zach Eflin compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
7.75K/9
9.4BB/9
1.2HR/9
1.0Fastball
92.4 mphERA
3.50WHIP
1.02BABIP
.306GB/FB
1.73Left On Base
72.7%Exit Velocity
81.2 mphBarrels/BBE
5.8%Spin Rate
2240 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
23.0%Swinging Strike
11.4%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Zach Eflin See More
Even with a tough matchup against the Phillies in Citizens Bank Park on Opening Day, Spencer Strider takes the top spot in the first Weekly Pitcher Rankings of the year.
Injuries and signings have caused plenty of shifts in our rankings over the last two weeks, with Elly De La Cruz jumping up six spots due to teammates missing time.
Brad Johnson moves to pitching in the American League East, where in Baltimore, the Orioles signed pitching Ace Corbin Burnes to lead the team.
Todd Zola considers the impact of extra rest on starting pitchers and wonders if the Orioles will treat Corbin Burnes with the same care that the Brewers did.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Impressing in camp
Eflin drew rave reviews from manager Kevin Cash after a live batting practice session Friday, per Neil Solondz of the Rays Radio Network.
ANALYSIS
"You can really appreciate from sitting behind how much late movement he has," said Cash. "You saw the hitters and their reactions and every pitch looks just off the edge or on the plate working off the edge." The 28-year-old right-hander scored a three-year, $40 million contract from the Rays in December after posting a 4.04 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 65:15 K:BB over 75.2 innings with the Phillies during the 2022 regular season. He also had a 3.38 ERA and 12:2 K:BB in 10.2 postseason frames. Eflin projects to open the 2023 campaign as a mid-rotation starter for Tampa Bay.
"You can really appreciate from sitting behind how much late movement he has," said Cash. "You saw the hitters and their reactions and every pitch looks just off the edge or on the plate working off the edge." The 28-year-old right-hander scored a three-year, $40 million contract from the Rays in December after posting a 4.04 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 65:15 K:BB over 75.2 innings with the Phillies during the 2022 regular season. He also had a 3.38 ERA and 12:2 K:BB in 10.2 postseason frames. Eflin projects to open the 2023 campaign as a mid-rotation starter for Tampa Bay.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2015
2014
It was a nice moment when Eflin, who'd endured more of the Phillies' playoff drought than most, recorded his first career save in the game which clinched the the team's first playoff berth since 2011, but the fact that he was pitching in relief in the first place is unfortunately what fantasy managers should be primarily concerned with. Knee issues limited Eflin to 18 starts in 2021, and they didn't go away in 2022. He finished with 13 starts and seven relief appearances. When healthy, he was the same unexciting but capable pitcher he's been for the past several seasons, as his 4.04 ERA and 20.8 K% were both near matches for the 4.12 ERA and 21.4 K% he managed from 2019 through 2021. His 4.8 BB% was excellent, as usual, but while many low-whiff, low-walk pitchers become durable back-end starters, Eflin's injuries mean he lacks that reliability. The Rays are betting on some untapped potential and gambling on his health, as they gave him the richest free agent contract in team history (three years, $40 million). He should open the year in the middle of the rotation. Eflin's sinker and cutter show some intriguing movement qualities and he excelled at limiting hard contact last season (96th percentile average exit velocity), so perhaps the Rays can extract a career year with the aid of a massive home park upgrade.
More Fantasy News
Confirmed for Opening Day
Eflin will start for the Rays on Opening Day, March 28 at home against the Blue Jays, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Builds up to four innings
Eflin threw 63 pitches across four innings in Monday's Grapefruit League game against the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Starting Game 2
Eflin will start Game 2 of the AL Wild Card Series against the Rangers on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up 16th win
Eflin (16-8) earned the win Tuesday, allowing three runs on five hits over five innings against Boston. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Notches 10 strikeouts
Eflin struck out 10 and did not factor into the decision in Thursday's win over Angels. He allowed two runs on six hits and one walk over five innings.
ANALYSIS
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